Macarthur FC x Brisbane Roar Betting tips for November 30 in Australia A-League

Our betting tip for Macarthur FC x Brisbane Roar, Saturday, 30/11/2024

📅 30/11/2024 08:35

Macarthur FC 1.88

X 3.95

Brisbane Roar 3.52

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Macarthur FC x Brisbane Roar:

🔮 Macarthur FC wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Macarthur FC, you can win up to $940.00!

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Important information for your tip for Macarthur FC x Brisbane Roar: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Macarthur FC in each of its last 4 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $220.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Brisbane Roar in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-230.0. 👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team against Brisbane Roar, Macarthur FC scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team, Macarthur FC conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, Brisbane Roar conceded at least 2 goal(s). 👉 Playing as the home team, Macarthur FC conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 4 head-to-head against Brisbane Roar. 👉 Macarthur FC is a team that likes ball possession. In its last 3 home matches, it had at least 60.00% of possession. 👉 Macarthur FC has not lost any of the last 3 head-to-head matches against Brisbane Roar playing at home. 👉 It is not a good time for Brisbane Roar as away team: it comes from 3 losses in a row in its last away matches.

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Analysis from Macarthur FC x Brisbane Roar for the Australia A-League – 30 of November

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Macarthur FC and Brisbane Roar.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1229731 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Macarthur FC x Brisbane Roar

Should you bet on Macarthur FC?

🔵 Macarthur FC: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 76.6% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.88. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 770 times – profiting $677.60;
• And would have lost other 230 times – with a loss of -$230.00 because of them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$447.60.

Is betting on draw worth it?

⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 8.68%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.95. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 90 times – profiting $265.50;
• And would have lost other 910 times – with a loss of -$910.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$644.50.

Should you bet on Brisbane Roar?

🔴 Brisbane Roar: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 14.73%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.52. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would have hit 150 times – having a profit of $378.00;
• And would lose other 850 times – losing -$850.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$472.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Macarthur FC x Brisbane Roar

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.0 Macarthur FC
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Macarthur FC x Brisbane Roar

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -1.0 Macarthur FC and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.5 Macarthur FC.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.50, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.5 Macarthur FC.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Macarthur FC x Brisbane Roar

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 3.25 goals.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.