📊 Check out the analysis from this match on Betfellows: Complete prognostic for Macarthur FC x Sydney FC
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Analysis from Macarthur FC x Sydney FC for the Australia A-League – 26 of December
🏟️ Macarthur FC X Sydney FC – Australia A-League
Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Macarthur FC x Sydney FCright, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.
And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 281997 matches on the database from our soccer prognostics platform, Betfellows, looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:
Tips for the Match Odds market for Macarthur FC x Sydney FC
Is it worth betting on Macarthur FC?
🔵 Macarthur FC: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 24.91% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.60. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 250 times – profiting $400.00;
- And would have lost other 750 times – with a loss of -$750.00 because of them.
That is why bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$350.00.
Is it worth betting on draw?
⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 28.8% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.23. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 290 times – this would give you a profit of $646.70
- And would lose other 710 times – losing -$710.00 with them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$63.30.
Is betting on Sydney FC worth it?
🔴 Sydney FC: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 46.28%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.60. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 460 times – having a profit of $736.00;
- And would have lost other 540 times – with a loss of -$540.00 because of them.
That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$196.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match Macarthur FC x Sydney FC
The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on soccer betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..
These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.5 Macarthur FC
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
Tips for the market Handicap 1×2 for Macarthur FC x Sydney FC
⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +0.5 Macarthur FC and the available handicap to bet at that moment is 0.0 Macarthur FC.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.0 Sydney FC.
Tips for the market Goals Handicap for Macarthur FC x Sydney FC
⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals.
Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Goals Handicapmarket.
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Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.> Check other content created by Humberto Alves