📊 Check out the analysis on Betfellows for this match: Full prognostic for Maccabi Bnei Raina x Hapoel Kfar Saba
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Analysis from Maccabi Bnei Raina x Hapoel Kfar Saba for the Israel Leumit Liga – 21 of January
🏟️ Maccabi Bnei Raina X Hapoel Kfar Saba – Israel Leumit Liga
Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Maccabi Bnei Raina x Hapoel Kfar Saba right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.
To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 290173 matches from Betfellows database, our collaborative prediction platform, seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:
Tips for the Match Odds market for Maccabi Bnei Raina x Hapoel Kfar Saba
Is betting on Maccabi Bnei Raina worth it?
🔵 Maccabi Bnei Raina: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 24.12%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.29. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would have hit 240 times – having a profit of $310.32;
- And would lose other 760 times – having a loss of -$760.00 with them.
That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$449.68.
Is betting on draw worth it?
⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 26.14% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.05. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 260 times – profiting $533.00;
- And would lose other 740 times – having a loss of -$740.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$207.00.
Is it worth betting on Hapoel Kfar Saba?
🔴 Hapoel Kfar Saba: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 49.73% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.88. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would have hit 500 times – having a profit of $940.00;
- And would lose other 500 times – having a loss of -$500.00 with them.
So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$440.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match Maccabi Bnei Raina x Hapoel Kfar Saba
Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.
These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Maccabi Bnei Raina
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Maccabi Bnei Raina x Hapoel Kfar Saba
⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 0.0 Maccabi Bnei Raina and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.25 Maccabi Bnei Raina.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.25 Hapoel Kfar Saba.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Maccabi Bnei Raina x Hapoel Kfar Saba
⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.
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Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.> Check other content created by Humberto Alves