Maccabi Petach Tikva x Hapoel Jerusalem FC Betting tips for January 11 in Israel Premier League

Our betting tip for Maccabi Petach Tikva x Hapoel Jerusalem FC, Saturday, 11/1/2025

📅 11/1/2025 16:00

Maccabi Petach Tikva 2.65

X 3.05

Hapoel Jerusalem FC 2.50

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Maccabi Petach Tikva x Hapoel Jerusalem FC:

🔮 Tied Match
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The main points for the tip for Maccabi Petach Tikva x Hapoel Jerusalem FC: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Maccabi Petach Tikva in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-270.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Hapoel Jerusalem FC in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-260.0. 👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team against Hapoel Jerusalem FC, Maccabi Petach Tikva scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 4 Maccabi Petach Tikva matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals. 👉 Playing as the home team, Maccabi Petach Tikva conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 4 head-to-head against Hapoel Jerusalem FC. 👉 Maccabi Petach Tikva has not lost any of the last 4 head-to-head matches against Hapoel Jerusalem FC playing at home.

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Analysis from Maccabi Petach Tikva x Hapoel Jerusalem FC for the Israel Premier League – 11 of January

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Maccabi Petach Tikva x Hapoel Jerusalem FC right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1244516 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Maccabi Petach Tikva x Hapoel Jerusalem FC

Is it worth betting on Maccabi Petach Tikva?

🔵 Maccabi Petach Tikva: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 26.35% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.65. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 260 times – having a profit of $429.00;
• And would have lost other 740 times – with a loss of -$740.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$311.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 36.61%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.05. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 370 times – this would give you a profit of $758.50
• And would have lost other 630 times – with a loss of -$630.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$128.50.

Should you bet on Hapoel Jerusalem FC?

🔴 Hapoel Jerusalem FC: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 37.04% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.50. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 370 times – this would give you a profit of $555.00
• And would lose other 630 times – having a loss of -$630.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$75.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Maccabi Petach Tikva x Hapoel Jerusalem FC

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Maccabi Petach Tikva
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Maccabi Petach Tikva x Hapoel Jerusalem FC

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 0.0 Maccabi Petach Tikva and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 0.0 Maccabi Petach Tikva.

Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Maccabi Petach Tikva x Hapoel Jerusalem FC

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.