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Macclesfield x Atherton Collieries Betting tips for November 21 in England Northern Premier League

Our betting tip for Macclesfield x Atherton Collieries, Tuesday, 21/11/2023
๐Ÿ“… 21/11/2023
19:45
Macclesfield Macclesfield
1.30
X
5.25
Atherton Collieries Atherton Collieries
7.02

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Macclesfield x Atherton Collieries:

๐Ÿ”ฎ Macclesfield wins the match
๐Ÿ’ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Macclesfield, you can win up to $650.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Some important points for the tip for Macclesfield x Atherton Collieries:

๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Macclesfield in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $47.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Atherton Collieries in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $200.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 7 matches as the home team, Macclesfield scored at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 3 matches as the away team, Atherton Collieries scored at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 5 matches as the home team, Macclesfield conceded at least 1 goal(s).

๐Ÿ“Š Check out the full analysis on Betfellows: Prognostic for Macclesfield x Atherton Collieries

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Summary

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Analysis from Macclesfield x Atherton Collieries for the England Northern Premier League – 21 of November

๐ŸŸ๏ธ Macclesfield X Atherton Collieries – England Northern Premier League
๐Ÿ“… 21 of November, 2023 – 19:45
๐Ÿ”ต Macclesfield – Winning probability: 86.67% | Fair line: 1.15
โšช Tied game – Probability of tied match: 10.14% | Fair line: 9.86
๐Ÿ”ด Atherton Collieries – Winning probability: 3.19% | Fair line: 31.39
โš– Handicap 1×2: -1.0 Macclesfield
โšฝ Expected goals: 3.25 goals
โ›ณ Expected corner kicks: 9.00 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Macclesfield and Atherton Collieries.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1024310 matches on the betting prognostics platform Betfellows , in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Macclesfield x Atherton Collieries

Should you bet on Macclesfield?

๐Ÿ”ต Macclesfield: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 86.67% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.30. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 870 times – profiting $261.00;
  • And would have lost other 130 times – with a loss of -$130.00 because of them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of ๐Ÿ’ฐ$131.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

โšช draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 10.14% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 5.25. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 100 times – profiting $425.00;
  • And would have lost other 900 times – with a loss of -$900.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$475.00.

Is it worth betting on Atherton Collieries?

๐Ÿ”ด Atherton Collieries: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 3.19%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 7.02. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 30 times – having a profit of $180.60;
  • And would lose other 970 times – losing -$970.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$789.40.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Handicaps analysis for the match Macclesfield x Atherton Collieries

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on soccer betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

โš– Handicap 1×2: -1.0 Macclesfield
โšฝ Expected goals: 3.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Macclesfield x Atherton Collieries

โš– Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -1.0 Macclesfield and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -1.5 Macclesfield.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 1.5 Atherton Collieries.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Macclesfield x Atherton Collieries

โšฝ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 3.00 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 3.00 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves