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Home » Predictions » Others » Machida Zelvia x Albirex Niigata Betting tips for March 15 in Japan J-League
Saturday, 15 March 2025, 05h00 Japan J-League
Machida Zelvia Machida Zelvia
PREDICTION No tip
Albirex Niigata Albirex Niigata
Don't miss this prediction!

Machida Zelvia x Albirex Niigata Betting tips for March 15 in Japan J-League

Our betting tip for Machida Zelvia x Albirex Niigata, Saturday, 15/3/2025
📅 15/3/2025
05:00
Machida Zelvia Machida Zelvia
2.01
X
3.17
Albirex Niigata Albirex Niigata
3.77

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Machida Zelvia x Albirex Niigata:

👎 Umm…too bad! We did not find any positive expected value bets for Machida Zelvia x Albirex Niigata

Important information for your tip for Machida Zelvia x Albirex Niigata:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Machida Zelvia in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-158.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Albirex Niigata in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500.
👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, Albirex Niigata conceded at least 1 goal(s).

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Summary

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Analysis from Machida Zelvia x Albirex Niigata for the Japan J-League – 15 of March

🏟️ Machida Zelvia X Albirex Niigata – Japan J-League
📅 15 of March, 2025 – 05:00
🔵 Machida Zelvia – Winning probability: 52.10% | Fair line: 1.92
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 27.27% | Fair line: 3.67
🔴 Albirex Niigata – Winning probability: 20.63% | Fair line: 4.85
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Machida Zelvia
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.50 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Machida Zelvia and Albirex Niigata.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1281124 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Machida Zelvia x Albirex Niigata

Is it worth betting on Machida Zelvia?

🔵 Machida Zelvia: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 52.1% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.01. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 520 times – this would give you a profit of $525.20
  • And would lose other 480 times – having a loss of -$480.00 with them.

It is a low stake bet, since after all you would have an final expected profit of just 💰$45.20. Which is not even that worthy considering the risk!

Is it worth betting on draw?

draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 27.27% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.17. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 270 times – profiting $585.90;
  • And would have lost other 730 times – with a loss of -$730.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$144.10.

Is betting on Albirex Niigata worth it?

🔴 Albirex Niigata: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 20.63% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.77. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 210 times – having a profit of $581.70;
  • And would lose other 790 times – having a loss of -$790.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$208.30.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Machida Zelvia x Albirex Niigata

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Machida Zelvia
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Machida Zelvia x Albirex Niigata

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.25 Machida Zelvia and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.25 Machida Zelvia.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Machida Zelvia x Albirex Niigata

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.00 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.00 goals.

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Written by
Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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