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Home » Predictions » Others » Madura United x Bali United Betting tips for May 5 in Indonesia Super League
Tuesday, 05 May 2026, 08h30 Indonesia Super League
Madura United Madura United
PREDICTION Bali United Wins Probability 42% 1 X 2
Bali United Bali United
ODD: @2.3
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Madura United x Bali United Betting tips for May 5 in Indonesia Super League

Our betting tip for Madura United x Bali United, Tuesday, 5/5/2026
📅 5/5/2026
08:30
Madura United Madura United
2.80
X
3.34
Bali United Bali United
2.30

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Madura United x Bali United:

🔮 Bali United wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Bali United, you can win up to $1150.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Important information for your tip for Madura United x Bali United:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Madura United in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-275.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Bali United in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $130.0.
👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team, Madura United scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team against Bali United, Madura United scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 5 Madura United matches as the home team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 3 head-to-head matches between Madura United x Bali United, with Madura United as the home team, they finished over 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team, Madura United conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 Playing as the home team, Madura United conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 5 head-to-head against Bali United.

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Summary

Do you want more options of bookies to bet on Madura United x Bali United?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Madura United x Bali United, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2026. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Madura United x Bali United for the Indonesia Super League – 5 of May

🏟️ Madura United X Bali United – Indonesia Super League
📅 5 of May, 2026 – 08:30
🔵 Madura United – Winning probability: 34.32% | Fair line: 2.91
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 22.81% | Fair line: 4.38
🔴 Bali United – Winning probability: 42.87% | Fair line: 2.33
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Madura United
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.25 corner kicks

Odds and handicap movements for Madura United x Bali United

It is always useful to analyse how the odds and the handicap behaved over time. This helps us understand where the betting market is heading and what punters expect for the match between Madura United x Bali United.

Below you will see a summary that compares the opening odds with the current odds in the main markets: 1X2, handicap and goals.

📊 The odds for Madura United had a slight Decreased of -6.00%: the market opened with odds of @2.5 for Madura United and now the odds are @2.35.
📊 With a variation of 0.00%, the odds for Draw are virtually stable in relation to its opening: the market opened with odds of @3.4 for Draw and now the odds are @3.4.
📊 With a variation of 2.94%, the odds for Bali United are virtually stable in relation to its opening: the market opened with odds of @2.55 for Bali United and now the odds are @2.625.
📊 The main handicap is stable: the current handicap of 0.00 for Madura United is exactly the same from its opening.
📊 The Goal Market remains stable: the current handicap of 2.75 goals is exactly the same from its opening.

Tips for the 1×2 market for Madura United x Bali United

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Madura United and Bali United.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1538773 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Should you bet on Madura United?

🔵 Madura United: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 34.32% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.80. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 340 times – having a profit of $612.00;
  • And would lose other 660 times – having a loss of -$660.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$48.00.

Is it worth betting on draw?

draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 22.81% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.34. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 230 times – profiting $538.20;
  • And would lose other 770 times – having a loss of -$770.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$231.80.

Is betting on Bali United worth it?

🔴 Bali United: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 42.87% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.30. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 430 times – this would give you a profit of $559.00
  • And would lose other 570 times – having a loss of -$570.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$11.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Madura United x Bali United

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Madura United
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Madura United x Bali United

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +0.25 Madura United, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 0.0 Madura United.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.0 Bali United.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Madura United x Bali United

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.00 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.75 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.75 goals.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

FAQs: Frequently asked questions about the tip for Madura United x Bali United

Which team is the favourite in Madura United x Bali United?

According to our analysis, the favourite for this match is Bali United, with a win probability of 42.87%. However, keep in mind that in football anything can happen!

Who will win: Madura United x Bali United?

There are no absolutes in sports betting. Still, our model suggests Bali United has the better chance to win, with a probability of 42.87%. If you choose to back Bali United, do so responsibly!

What are the chances of Madura United beating Bali United today?

From our analysis, in 100 encounters we forecast that Madura United would take victory in roughly 34 of them versus Bali United.

What are the chances of Bali United beating Madura United today?

Based on our calculations, in every 100 matches we estimate Bali United would win about 43 of those versus Madura United.

Which team should I bet on: Madura United or Bali United?

Smart bettors seek bets with positive expected value. According to our analysis, the recommended bet is: Bali United Wins, with an expected value of 12.66%. Remember to bet responsibly and manage your bankroll: dont stake over 2%!

How much is Madura United paying today? See what you can win by betting on Madura United x Bali United:

The odds for Madura United to beat Bali United today are around 2.80. That means a bet of KSh1000 could return KSh2800.00 if Madura United wins. Remember betting involves risk and returns are not guaranteed. Bet responsibly!

How much is Bali United paying today? See what you can win by betting on Madura United x Bali United:

The average odds for Bali United to beat Madura United today are 2.30. So a KSh1000 stake could pay KSh2300.00 if Bali United wins. Bet responsibly and remember outcomes are not certain.

Which bookmaker is best for betting on Madura United x Bali United?

If you plan to bet on Madura United vs Bali United, we suggest using trusted and regulated bookmakers. Here are three operators we recommend:

Remember to bet responsibly!

Written by
Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves