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Home Β» Predictions Β» Others Β» Madureira RJ x Sampaio Correa RJ Betting tips for February 6 in Brazil Campeonato Carioca
Thursday, 06 February 2025, 19h00 Brazil Campeonato Carioca
Madureira RJ Madureira RJ
PREDICTION No tip
Sampaio Correa RJ Sampaio Correa RJ
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Madureira RJ x Sampaio Correa RJ Betting tips for February 6 in Brazil Campeonato Carioca

Our betting tip for Madureira RJ x Sampaio Correa RJ, Thursday, 6/2/2025
πŸ“… 6/2/2025
19:00
Madureira RJ Madureira RJ
2.25
X
2.98
Sampaio Correa RJ Sampaio Correa RJ
3.12

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Madureira RJ x Sampaio Correa RJ:

πŸ‘Ž Unfortunately, we did not find any positive expected value bets for Madureira RJ x Sampaio Correa RJ

The main points for the tip for Madureira RJ x Sampaio Correa RJ:

πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Madureira RJ in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $125.0.
πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Sampaio Correa RJ in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 7 Madureira RJ matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 4 matches as the away team, Sampaio Correa RJ conceded at least 1 goal(s).

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Summary

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Analysis from Madureira RJ x Sampaio Correa RJ for the Brazil Campeonato Carioca – 6 of February

🏟️ Madureira RJ X Sampaio Correa RJ – Brazil Campeonato Carioca
πŸ“… 6 of February, 2025 – 19:00
πŸ”΅ Madureira RJ – Winning probability: 45.62% | Fair line: 2.19
βšͺ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 35.59% | Fair line: 2.81
πŸ”΄ Sampaio Correa RJ – Winning probability: 18.79% | Fair line: 5.32
βš– Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Madureira RJ
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals
β›³ Expected corner kicks: 10.50 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Madureira RJ and Sampaio Correa RJ.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1257960 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Madureira RJ x Sampaio Correa RJ

Should you bet on Madureira RJ?

πŸ”΅ Madureira RJ: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 45.62%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.25. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 460 times – profiting $575.00;
  • And would lose other 540 times – having a loss of -$540.00 with them.

It is a low stake bet, since after all you would have an final expected profit of just πŸ’°$35.00. Which is not even that worthy considering the risk!

Is it worth betting on draw?

βšͺ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 35.59%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.98. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 360 times – this would give you a profit of $712.80
  • And would lose other 640 times – losing -$640.00 with them.

It is a low stake bet, since after all you would have an final expected profit of just πŸ’°$72.80. Which is not even that worthy considering the risk!

Is it worth betting on Sampaio Correa RJ?

πŸ”΄ Sampaio Correa RJ: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 18.79% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.12. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 190 times – profiting $402.80;
  • And would have lost other 810 times – with a loss of -$810.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of πŸ’°-$407.20.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Madureira RJ x Sampaio Correa RJ

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

βš– Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Madureira RJ
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Madureira RJ x Sampaio Correa RJ

βš– Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.75 Madureira RJ, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.25 Madureira RJ.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.50, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.25 Madureira RJ.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Madureira RJ x Sampaio Correa RJ

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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