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Home » Predictions » Others » Madureira RJ x Volta Redonda Betting tips for January 12 in Brazil Campeonato Carioca
Sunday, 12 January 2025, 19h00 Brazil Campeonato Carioca
Madureira RJ Madureira RJ
PREDICTION Volta Redonda Wins Probability 55% 1 X 2
Volta Redonda Volta Redonda
ODD: @2.1 Don't miss this prediction!

Madureira RJ x Volta Redonda Betting tips for January 12 in Brazil Campeonato Carioca

Our betting tip for Madureira RJ x Volta Redonda, Sunday, 12/1/2025
📅 12/1/2025
19:00
Madureira RJ Madureira RJ
3.40
X
3.00
Volta Redonda Volta Redonda
2.10

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Madureira RJ x Volta Redonda:

🔮 Volta Redonda wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Volta Redonda, you can win up to $1050.00!

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Some important points for the tip for Madureira RJ x Volta Redonda:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Madureira RJ in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $10.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Volta Redonda in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $288.0.
👉 Madureira RJ did not score any goals in the last 3 matches as home team.
👉 In the last 4 matches as the away team, Volta Redonda scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 Madureira RJ matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 3 head-to-head matches between Madureira RJ x Volta Redonda, with Madureira RJ as the home team, they finished over 2.5 goals.
👉 Playing as the home team, Madureira RJ conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 3 head-to-head against Volta Redonda.
👉 In the last 7 road matches, Volta Redonda has not lost any of them.

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Summary

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Analysis from Madureira RJ x Volta Redonda for the Brazil Campeonato Carioca – 12 of January

🏟️ Madureira RJ X Volta Redonda – Brazil Campeonato Carioca
📅 12 of January, 2025 – 19:00
🔵 Madureira RJ – Winning probability: 20.87% | Fair line: 4.79
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 23.93% | Fair line: 4.18
🔴 Volta Redonda – Winning probability: 55.19% | Fair line: 1.81
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Madureira RJ
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 8.75 corner kicks

When the best bet on Madureira RJ x Volta Redonda is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1244844 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Madureira RJ x Volta Redonda

Should you bet on Madureira RJ?

🔵 Madureira RJ: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 20.87% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.40. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 210 times – this would give you a profit of $504.00
  • And would lose other 790 times – losing -$790.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$286.00.

Is betting on draw worth it?

draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 23.93% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.00. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 240 times – this would give you a profit of $480.00
  • And would have lost other 760 times – with a loss of -$760.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$280.00.

Should you bet on Volta Redonda?

🔴 Volta Redonda: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 55.19% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.10. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 550 times – having a profit of $605.00;
  • And would lose other 450 times – having a loss of -$450.00 with them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$155.00.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Handicaps analysis for the match Madureira RJ x Volta Redonda

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Madureira RJ
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Madureira RJ x Volta Redonda

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +0.25 Madureira RJ and the available handicap to bet at the moment is +0.25 Madureira RJ.

The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Madureira RJ x Volta Redonda

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.

Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Goals Handicap market.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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