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Home Β» Predictions Β» Others Β» Makedonikos x Kampaniakos Betting tips for September 29 in Greece Super League 2
Sunday, 29 September 2024, 09h00 Greece Super League 2
Makedonikos Makedonikos
PREDICTION No tip
Kampaniakos Kampaniakos
Don't miss this prediction!

Makedonikos x Kampaniakos Betting tips for September 29 in Greece Super League 2

Our betting tip for Makedonikos x Kampaniakos, Sunday, 29/9/2024
πŸ“… 29/9/2024
09:00
Makedonikos Makedonikos
1.76
X
3.28
Kampaniakos Kampaniakos
4.23

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Makedonikos x Kampaniakos:

πŸ‘Ž Umm…what a pity! We do not have any positive expected value tips for Makedonikos x Kampaniakos

The main points for the tip for Makedonikos x Kampaniakos:

πŸ‘‰ In the last 3 matches as the away team, Kampaniakos scored at least 2 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ In the last 3 head-to-head matches between Makedonikos x Kampaniakos, with Makedonikos as the home team, they finished under 2.5 goals.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 3 Kampaniakos matches as the away team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 5 matches as the away team, Kampaniakos conceded at least 1 goal(s).

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Summary

Do you want more options of bookies to bet on Makedonikos x Kampaniakos?

If you want to take a look at more options of betting websites, we, from the Clube, have listed our favorites for you. Right below you can check the best kenyan betting sites from 2024, carefully analysed by us. Pick yours and start betting now on Makedonikos x Kampaniakos:

Analysis from Makedonikos x Kampaniakos for the Greece Super League 2 – 29 of September

🏟️ Makedonikos X Kampaniakos – Greece Super League 2
πŸ“… 29 of September, 2024 – 09:00
πŸ”΅ Makedonikos – Winning probability: 56.39% | Fair line: 1.77
βšͺ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 28.06% | Fair line: 3.56
πŸ”΄ Kampaniakos – Winning probability: 15.54% | Fair line: 6.43
βš– Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Makedonikos
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
β›³ Expected corner kicks: 9.50 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Makedonikos x Kampaniakos right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1190630 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Makedonikos x Kampaniakos

Is it a good idea to bet on Makedonikos?

πŸ”΅ Makedonikos: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 56.39% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.76. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 560 times – having a profit of $425.60;
  • And would lose other 440 times – having a loss of -$440.00 with them.

Even if it is a positive expected value bet, the expected profit is just πŸ’°$14.40 which is not worth the risk in our opinion.

Is it worth betting on draw?

βšͺ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 28.06%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.28. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 280 times – profiting $638.40;
  • And would lose other 720 times – having a loss of -$720.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of πŸ’°-$81.60.

Is it a good idea to bet on Kampaniakos?

πŸ”΄ Kampaniakos: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 15.54%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 4.23. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 160 times – this would give you a profit of $516.80
  • And would have lost other 840 times – with a loss of -$840.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of πŸ’°-$323.20.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Makedonikos x Kampaniakos

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

βš– Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Makedonikos
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Makedonikos x Kampaniakos

βš– Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.5 Makedonikos, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.5 Makedonikos.

The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Makedonikos x Kampaniakos

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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