Makedonikos x Larissa Betting tips for January 11 in Greece Super League 2
📅 11/1/2025 13:00 |
Makedonikos 4.01 |
X 3.25 |
Larissa 1.78 |
This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Makedonikos x Larissa:
🔮 Larissa wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Larissa, you can win up to $890.00!
The main points for the tip for Makedonikos x Larissa: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Makedonikos in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $607.0. |
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Analysis from Makedonikos x Larissa for the Greece Super League 2 – 11 of January
🏟️ Makedonikos X Larissa – Greece Super League 2 |
Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Makedonikos x Larissa right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.
Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1244516 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:
Tips for the 1×2 market for Makedonikos x Larissa
Is it worth betting on Makedonikos?
🔵 Makedonikos: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 11.17%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 4.01. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would have hit 110 times – having a profit of $331.10;
- And would lose other 890 times – having a loss of -$890.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$558.90.
Is betting on draw worth it?
⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 21.27% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.25. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 210 times – this would give you a profit of $472.50
- And would lose other 790 times – losing -$790.00 with them.
We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$317.50.
Should you bet on Larissa?
🔴 Larissa: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 67.56%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.78. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 680 times – profiting $530.40;
- And would lose other 320 times – having a loss of -$320.00 with them.
It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$210.40.
Handicaps analysis for the match Makedonikos x Larissa
Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.
This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.5 Makedonikos
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Makedonikos x Larissa
⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +0.5 Makedonikos, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +1.0 Makedonikos.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.50, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: +1.0 Makedonikos.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Makedonikos x Larissa
⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals.
Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.