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Home » Predictions » Others » Makedonikos x Larissa Betting tips for January 11 in Greece Super League 2
Saturday, 11 January 2025, 13h00 Greece Super League 2
Makedonikos Makedonikos
PREDICTION Larissa Wins Probability 67% 1 X 2
Larissa Larissa
ODD: @1.78 Don't miss this prediction!

Makedonikos x Larissa Betting tips for January 11 in Greece Super League 2

Our betting tip for Makedonikos x Larissa, Saturday, 11/1/2025
📅 11/1/2025
13:00
Makedonikos Makedonikos
4.01
X
3.25
Larissa Larissa
1.78

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Makedonikos x Larissa:

🔮 Larissa wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Larissa, you can win up to $890.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

The main points for the tip for Makedonikos x Larissa:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Makedonikos in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $607.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Larissa in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $360.0.
👉 In the last 6 matches as the home team, Makedonikos scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 7 matches as the away team, Larissa scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 5 Makedonikos matches as the home team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team, Makedonikos conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 Makedonikos is good playing home: it has 6 wins in a row in its last matches at home.
👉 In the last 7 road matches, Larissa has not lost any of them.
👉 Makedonikos has not lost any of the last 3 head-to-head matches against Larissa playing at home.

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Summary

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Analysis from Makedonikos x Larissa for the Greece Super League 2 – 11 of January

🏟️ Makedonikos X Larissa – Greece Super League 2
📅 11 of January, 2025 – 13:00
🔵 Makedonikos – Winning probability: 11.17% | Fair line: 8.95
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 21.27% | Fair line: 4.7
🔴 Larissa – Winning probability: 67.56% | Fair line: 1.48
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.5 Makedonikos
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.00 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Makedonikos x Larissa right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1244516 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Makedonikos x Larissa

Is it worth betting on Makedonikos?

🔵 Makedonikos: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 11.17%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 4.01. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 110 times – having a profit of $331.10;
  • And would lose other 890 times – having a loss of -$890.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$558.90.

Is betting on draw worth it?

draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 21.27% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.25. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 210 times – this would give you a profit of $472.50
  • And would lose other 790 times – losing -$790.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$317.50.

Should you bet on Larissa?

🔴 Larissa: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 67.56%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.78. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 680 times – profiting $530.40;
  • And would lose other 320 times – having a loss of -$320.00 with them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$210.40.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Makedonikos x Larissa

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.5 Makedonikos
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Makedonikos x Larissa

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +0.5 Makedonikos, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +1.0 Makedonikos.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.50, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: +1.0 Makedonikos.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Makedonikos x Larissa

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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