Malacateco x Deportivo Mixco Betting tips for April 17 in Guatemala Liga Nacional

Our betting tip for Malacateco x Deportivo Mixco, Thursday, 17/4/2025

📅 17/4/2025 02:00

Malacateco 1.65

X 3.40

Deportivo Mixco 4.72

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Malacateco x Deportivo Mixco:

🔮 Malacateco wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Malacateco, you can win up to $825.00!

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Some important points for the tip for Malacateco x Deportivo Mixco: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Malacateco in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-48.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Deportivo Mixco in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-150.0. 👉 In the last 5 matches as the away team, Deportivo Mixco scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 3 Malacateco matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 3 Deportivo Mixco matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 5 matches as the away team, Deportivo Mixco conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 6 road matches, Deportivo Mixco has not lost any of them.

Do you want more options of bookies to bet on Malacateco x Deportivo Mixco?

If you already have an account on Bet365 or want other options of bookmakers, do not worry! This list below was carefully created taking you into consideration. These are the best betting sites analysed by us in 2025. You just have to click, deposit and bet:

Analysis from Malacateco x Deportivo Mixco for the Guatemala Liga Nacional – 17 of April

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Malacateco x Deportivo Mixco right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1305181 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Malacateco x Deportivo Mixco

Is it a good idea to bet on Malacateco?

🔵 Malacateco: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 67.1% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.65. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would have hit 670 times – having a profit of $435.50;
• And would have lost other 330 times – with a loss of -$330.00 because of them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$105.50.

Is it worth betting on draw?

⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 23.62% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.40. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would have hit 240 times – having a profit of $576.00;
• And would lose other 760 times – losing -$760.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$184.00.

Should you bet on Deportivo Mixco?

🔴 Deportivo Mixco: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 9.29% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 4.72. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 90 times – profiting $334.80;
• And would lose other 910 times – losing -$910.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$575.20.

Handicaps analysis for the match Malacateco x Deportivo Mixco

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.25 Malacateco
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Malacateco x Deportivo Mixco

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -1.25 Malacateco and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.75 Malacateco.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.75 Malacateco.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Malacateco x Deportivo Mixco

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Goals Handicap market.