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20/1/2022 19:00 |
 Mali1.36 |
X 4.25 |
Mauritania  8.64 |
This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Mali x Mauritania:
๐ฎ Mali wins the match
๐ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Mali, you can win up to $681.50!
๐ Check out the full analysis on Betfellows: Prognostic for Mali x Mauritania
Do you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Mali x Mauritania?
If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Mali x Mauritania, no problem. Right below you have the bookies that we used the most in 2022. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:
Analysis from Mali x Mauritania for the Africa Cup of Nations – 20 of January
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๐๏ธ Mali X Mauritania – Africa Cup of Nations |
When the best bet on Mali x Mauritania is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.
To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 290148 matches from Betfellows database, our collaborative prediction platform, seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:
Tips for the Match Odds market for Mali x Mauritania
Is betting on Mali worth it?
๐ต Mali: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 89.45%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.36. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 890 times – profiting $323.07;
- And would lose other 110 times – losing -$110.00 with them.
That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of ๐ฐ$213.07.
Is it a good idea to bet on draw?
โช draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 7.7% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 4.25. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 80 times – this would give you a profit of $260.00
- And would lose other 920 times – having a loss of -$920.00 with them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of ๐ฐ-$660.00.
Is betting on Mauritania worth it?
๐ด Mauritania: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 2.85% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 8.64. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 30 times – having a profit of $229.20;
- And would have lost other 970 times – with a loss of -$970.00 because of them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of ๐ฐ-$740.80.
Handicaps analysis for the match Mali x Mauritania
Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on soccer betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..
Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:
โ Handicap 1×2: -1.25 Mali
โฝ Expected goals: 2.25 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Mali x Mauritania
โ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -1.25 Mali and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -1.25 Mali.
The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Mali x Mauritania
โฝ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.
The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.
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Written by
Humberto Alves
Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.
> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
