Malkiya x Sitra Betting tips for May 11 in Bahrain Premier League

Our betting tip for Malkiya x Sitra, Sunday, 11/5/2025

📅 11/5/2025 16:00

Malkiya 2.80

X 3.00

Sitra 2.37

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Malkiya x Sitra:

🔮 Sitra wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Sitra, you can win up to $1185.00!

Make this bet on Bet365 now!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com 

Some important points for the tip for Malkiya x Sitra: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Malkiya in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-500. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Sitra in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $265.0. 👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team against Sitra, Malkiya scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 4 matches as the away team, Sitra conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 Malkiya has won all the last 5 matches playing at home against Sitra.

Looking for another bookie to bet on Malkiya x Sitra?

If you want to take a look at more options of betting websites, we, from the Clube, have listed our favorites for you. Right below you can check the best kenyan betting sites from 2025, carefully analysed by us. Pick yours and start betting now on Malkiya x Sitra:

Analysis from Malkiya x Sitra for the Bahrain Premier League – 11 of May

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Malkiya x Sitra right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1322673 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Malkiya x Sitra

Is it a good idea to bet on Malkiya?

🔵 Malkiya: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 22.37% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.80. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 220 times – profiting $396.00;
• And would lose other 780 times – losing -$780.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$384.00.

Is betting on draw worth it?

⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 28.5% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.00. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 280 times – having a profit of $560.00;
• And would lose other 720 times – having a loss of -$720.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$160.00.

Is it worth betting on Sitra?

🔴 Sitra: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 49.13% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.37. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 490 times – profiting $671.30;
• And would lose other 510 times – losing -$510.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$161.30.

Handicaps analysis for the match Malkiya x Sitra

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Malkiya
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Malkiya x Sitra

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +0.25 Malkiya, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +0.25 Malkiya.

The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Malkiya x Sitra

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.