Mamelodi Sundowns x Kaizer Chiefs Betting tips for April 13 in South Africa Cup

Our betting tip for Mamelodi Sundowns x Kaizer Chiefs, Sunday, 13/4/2025

📅 13/4/2025 16:00

Mamelodi Sundowns 1.38

X 3.72

Kaizer Chiefs 10.00

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Mamelodi Sundowns x Kaizer Chiefs:

🔮 Mamelodi Sundowns wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Mamelodi Sundowns, you can win up to $690.00!

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Important information for your tip for Mamelodi Sundowns x Kaizer Chiefs: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Mamelodi Sundowns in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $266.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Kaizer Chiefs in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $105.0. 👉 Mamelodi Sundowns did not concede a goal in the last 4 matches as home team. 👉 In the last 8 matches as the home team, Mamelodi Sundowns scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team against Kaizer Chiefs, Mamelodi Sundowns scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 4 Mamelodi Sundowns matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 4 matches as the away team, Kaizer Chiefs conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 Mamelodi Sundowns is good playing home: it has 8 wins in a row in its last matches at home. 👉 Mamelodi Sundowns has won all the last 5 matches playing at home against Kaizer Chiefs.

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Analysis from Mamelodi Sundowns x Kaizer Chiefs for the South Africa Cup – 13 of April

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Mamelodi Sundowns x Kaizer Chiefs right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1302187 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Mamelodi Sundowns x Kaizer Chiefs

Is it a good idea to bet on Mamelodi Sundowns?

🔵 Mamelodi Sundowns: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 90.7% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.38. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 910 times – having a profit of $345.80;
• And would have lost other 90 times – with a loss of -$90.00 because of them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$255.80.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 8.31%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.72. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 80 times – profiting $217.60;
• And would have lost other 920 times – with a loss of -$920.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$702.40.

Is it a good idea to bet on Kaizer Chiefs?

🔴 Kaizer Chiefs: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 1.0% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 10.00. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would have hit 10 times – having a profit of $90.00;
• And would lose other 990 times – having a loss of -$990.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$900.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Mamelodi Sundowns x Kaizer Chiefs

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.25 Mamelodi Sundowns
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Mamelodi Sundowns x Kaizer Chiefs

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -1.25 Mamelodi Sundowns, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -1.25 Mamelodi Sundowns.

Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Mamelodi Sundowns x Kaizer Chiefs

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.00 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.75. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.