| π
15/1/2022 19:30 |
 Man City U231.65 |
X 4.00 |
Man Utd U23  4.04 |
This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Man City U23 x Man Utd U23:
π Unfortunately, we did not find any positive expected value bets for Man City U23 x Man Utd U23
π Check out the analysis on Betfellows for this match: Full prognostic for Man City U23 x Man Utd U23
Do you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Man City U23 x Man Utd U23?
If you want to take a look at more options of betting websites, we, from the Clube, have listed our favorites for you. Right below you can check the best bookies from 2022, carefully analysed by us. Pick yours and start betting now on Man City U23 x Man Utd U23:
Analysis from Man City U23 x Man Utd U23 for the England Premier League 2 – 15 of January
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ποΈ Man City U23 X Man Utd U23 – England Premier League 2 |
A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Man City U23 and Man Utd U23.
And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 287992 matches on the database from our soccer prognostics platform, Betfellows, looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:
Tips for the 1×2 market for Man City U23 x Man Utd U23
Is it worth betting on Man City U23?
π΅ Man City U23: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 51.52% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.65. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would have hit 520 times – having a profit of $338.00;
- And would have lost other 480 times – with a loss of -$480.00 because of them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of π°-$142.00.
Is betting on draw worth it?
βͺ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 25.2% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 4.00. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 250 times – this would give you a profit of $750.00
- And would have lost other 750 times – with a loss of -$750.00 because of them.
Even if it is a positive expected value bet, the expected profit is just π°$0.00 which is not worth the risk in our opinion.
Should you bet on Man Utd U23?
π΄ Man Utd U23: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 23.28% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 4.04. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 230 times – this would give you a profit of $698.05
- And would lose other 770 times – losing -$770.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of π°-$71.95.
Handicaps analysis for the match Man City U23 x Man Utd U23
The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.
This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:
β Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Man City U23
β½ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Man City U23 x Man Utd U23
β Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.5 Man City U23 and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.75 Man City U23.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.75 Man Utd U23.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Man City U23 x Man Utd U23
β½ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.00 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 3.50 goals.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.50, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: – 3.50 goals.
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Written by
Humberto Alves
Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.
> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
