Manauara EC x Independencia Betting tips for April 19 in Brazil Serie D
| 📅 19/4/2025 19:00 |
 Manauara EC1.75 |
X 3.55 |
Independencia  4.30 |
This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Manauara EC x Independencia:
👎 Unfortunately, we do not have any positive expected value tips for Manauara EC x Independencia
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The main points for the tip for Manauara EC x Independencia: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Manauara EC in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-190.0. |
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Analysis from Manauara EC x Independencia for the Brazil Serie D – 19 of April
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🏟️ Manauara EC X Independencia – Brazil Serie D |
A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Manauara EC and Independencia.
Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1306590 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:
Tips for the 1×2 market for Manauara EC x Independencia
Is betting on Manauara EC worth it?
🔵 Manauara EC: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 74.8% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.75. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 750 times – having a profit of $562.50;
- And would lose other 250 times – having a loss of -$250.00 with them.
Even if it is a positive expected value bet, the expected profit is just 💰$312.50 which is not worth the risk in our opinion.
Is it worth betting on draw?
⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 12.23% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.55. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 120 times – profiting $306.00;
- And would lose other 880 times – losing -$880.00 with them.
That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$574.00.
Is it worth betting on Independencia?
🔴 Independencia: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 12.97% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 4.30. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 130 times – this would give you a profit of $429.00
- And would lose other 870 times – having a loss of -$870.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$441.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match Manauara EC x Independencia
Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.
This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Manauara EC
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Manauara EC x Independencia
⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.75 Manauara EC, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.5 Manauara EC.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.5 Manauara EC.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Manauara EC x Independencia
⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.75, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.
