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Home » Predictions » Others » Manchester United x Leicester Betting tips for February 7 in England FA Cup
Friday, 07 February 2025, 20h00 England FA Cup
Manchester United Manchester United
PREDICTION Manchester United wins Probability 95% 1 X 2
Leicester Leicester
ODD: @1.31 Don't miss this prediction!

Manchester United x Leicester Betting tips for February 7 in England FA Cup

Our betting tip for Manchester United x Leicester, Friday, 7/2/2025
📅 7/2/2025
20:00
Manchester United Manchester United
1.31
X
5.55
Leicester Leicester
8.00

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Manchester United x Leicester:

🔮 Manchester United wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Manchester United, you can win up to $655.00!

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The main points for the tip for Manchester United x Leicester:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Leicester in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $25.0.
👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team against Leicester, Manchester United scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 7 Leicester matches as the away team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 3 head-to-head matches between Manchester United x Leicester, with Manchester United as the home team, they finished over 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 7 matches as the away team, Leicester conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 Manchester United has not lost any of the last 4 head-to-head matches against Leicester playing at home.

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Summary

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Analysis from Manchester United x Leicester for the England FA Cup – 7 of February

🏟️ Manchester United X Leicester – England FA Cup
📅 7 of February, 2025 – 20:00
🔵 Manchester United – Winning probability: 95.28% | Fair line: 1.05
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 2.07% | Fair line: 48.23
🔴 Leicester – Winning probability: 2.64% | Fair line: 37.85
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -2.25 Manchester United
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.50 corner kicks

When the best bet on Manchester United x Leicester is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1258264 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Manchester United x Leicester

Is it worth betting on Manchester United?

🔵 Manchester United: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 95.28%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.31. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 950 times – this would give you a profit of $294.50
  • And would have lost other 50 times – with a loss of -$50.00 because of them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$244.50.

Should you bet on draw?

draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 2.07% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 5.55. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 20 times – profiting $91.00;
  • And would lose other 980 times – losing -$980.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$889.00.

Should you bet on Leicester?

🔴 Leicester: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 2.64% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 8.00. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 30 times – profiting $210.00;
  • And would lose other 970 times – having a loss of -$970.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$760.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Manchester United x Leicester

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -2.25 Manchester United
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Manchester United x Leicester

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -2.25 Manchester United and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -1.5 Manchester United.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.75, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -1.5 Manchester United.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Manchester United x Leicester

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 3.25 goals. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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