Mantova x Carrarese Betting tips for March 1 in Italy Serie B
| 📅 1/3/2026 16:15 |
Mantova2.27 |
X 3.10 |
Carrarese ![]() 3.10 |
This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Mantova x Carrarese:
👎 Umm…too bad! We did not find any positive expected value bets for Mantova x Carrarese
Some important points for the tip for Mantova x Carrarese:
👉 If you had bet $100 on Mantova in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $10.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Carrarese in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-170.0.
👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team, Mantova scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 Mantova matches as the home team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 7 matches as the home team, Mantova conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 8 matches as the away team, Carrarese conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 It is not a good time for Carrarese as away team: it comes from 3 losses in a row in its last away matches.
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Analysis from Mantova x Carrarese for the Italy Serie B – 1 of March
🏟️ Mantova X Carrarese – Italy Serie B
📅 1 of March, 2026 – 16:15
🔵 Mantova – Winning probability: 32.04% | Fair line: 3.12
⚪ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 34.52% | Fair line: 2.9
🔴 Carrarese – Winning probability: 33.44% | Fair line: 2.99
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Mantova
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 10.00 corner kicks
How the handicap and odds moved for Mantova x Carrarese
One step many punters overlook is analysing the movement of odds and the handicap over time. Doing this gives a clearer idea of market expectations for the match between Mantova x Carrarese.
Check the summary below that compares opening odds with current odds across the main markets: 1X2, handicap and goals.
📊 The odds for Mantova had a slight Raised of 8.89%: the market opened with odds of @2.25 for Mantova and now the odds are @2.45.
📊 The odds for Draw had a slight Decreased of -9.09%: the market opened with odds of @3.3 for Draw and now the odds are @3.0.
📊 With a variation of 3.33%, the odds for Carrarese are virtually stable in relation to its opening: the market opened with odds of @3.0 for Carrarese and now the odds are @3.1.
📊 The main handicap is stable: the current handicap of -0.25 for Mantova is exactly the same from its opening.
📊 The Goal Market remains stable: the current handicap of 2.5 goals is exactly the same from its opening.
Tips for the 1×2 market for Mantova x Carrarese
When the best bet on Mantova x Carrarese is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.
Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1488879 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:
Should you bet on Mantova?
🔵 Mantova: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 32.04% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.27. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 320 times – having a profit of $406.40;
- And would lose other 680 times – having a loss of -$680.00 with them.
We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$273.60.
Is it worth betting on draw?
⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 34.52% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.10. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 350 times – having a profit of $735.00;
- And would lose other 650 times – losing -$650.00 with them.
Even if it is a positive expected value bet, the expected profit is just 💰$85.00 which is not worth the risk in our opinion.
Is it a good idea to bet on Carrarese?
🔴 Carrarese: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 33.44% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.10. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 330 times – this would give you a profit of $693.00
- And would lose other 670 times – having a loss of -$670.00 with them.
Even if it is a positive expected value bet, the expected profit is just 💰$23.00 which is not worth the risk in our opinion.
Handicaps analysis for the match Mantova x Carrarese
The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.
Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Mantova
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Mantova x Carrarese
⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.25 Mantova and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.25 Mantova.
The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Mantova x Carrarese
⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.50 goals.
The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.
FAQs: Common questions about the tip for Mantova x Carrarese
Which team is the favourite in Mantova x Carrarese?
According to our calculations, this is a very balanced fixture with no standout favourite. Mantova holds a win probability of 32.04%, and Carrarese has a chance of 33.44%.
Who will win: Mantova or Carrarese?
There are no certainties in sports betting. This match appears quite level, with no defined favourite. Mantova shows a win probability of 32.04%, and Carrarese has 33.44%. Avoid promises of sure wins and always gamble responsibly!
What are the chances of Mantova beating Carrarese today?
Based on our calculations, in every 100 matches we estimate Mantova would win about 32 of those against Carrarese.
What are the chances of Carrarese beating Mantova today?
Based on our calculations, in every 100 matches we estimate Carrarese would win about 33 of those versus Mantova.
Which team should I bet on: Mantova or Carrarese?
We did not identify an obvious positive EV bet for this game. Stay disciplined with bankroll management and avoid risking more than 2% of your funds!
How much is Mantova paying today? See what you can win by betting on Mantova x Carrarese:
The odds for Mantova to beat Carrarese today are around 2.27. That means a bet of KSh1000 could return KSh2270.00 if Mantova wins. Remember betting involves risk and returns are not guaranteed. Bet responsibly!
How much is Carrarese paying today? See what you can win by betting on Mantova x Carrarese:
The odds for Carrarese to beat Mantova today are around 3.10. That means a bet of KSh1000 could return KSh3100.00 if Carrarese wins. Remember betting involves risk and returns are not guaranteed. Bet responsibly!

Mantova