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Home » Predictions » Others » Mantova x Palermo Betting tips for October 30 in Italy Serie B
Wednesday, 30 October 2024, 19h30 Italy Serie B
Mantova Mantova
PREDICTION Palermo Wins Probability 51% 1 X 2
Palermo Palermo
ODD: @2.45 Don't miss this prediction!

Mantova x Palermo Betting tips for October 30 in Italy Serie B

Our betting tip for Mantova x Palermo, Wednesday, 30/10/2024
📅 30/10/2024
19:30
Mantova Mantova
2.76
X
3.30
Palermo Palermo
2.45

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Mantova x Palermo:

🔮 Palermo wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Palermo, you can win up to $1225.00!

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The main points for the tip for Mantova x Palermo:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Mantova in each of its last 4 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $275.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Palermo in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $425.0.
👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team, Mantova scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 Mantova matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 4 Palermo matches as the away team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 4 matches as the away team, Palermo conceded at least 1 goal(s).

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Summary

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Analysis from Mantova x Palermo for the Italy Serie B – 30 of October

🏟️ Mantova X Palermo – Italy Serie B
📅 30 of October, 2024 – 19:30
🔵 Mantova – Winning probability: 29.71% | Fair line: 3.37
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 18.71% | Fair line: 5.34
🔴 Palermo – Winning probability: 51.57% | Fair line: 1.94
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Mantova
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.25 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Mantova x Palermo right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1212778 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Mantova x Palermo

Is betting on Mantova worth it?

🔵 Mantova: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 29.71% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.76. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 300 times – this would give you a profit of $528.00
  • And would have lost other 700 times – with a loss of -$700.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$172.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 18.71% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.30. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 190 times – profiting $437.00;
  • And would lose other 810 times – having a loss of -$810.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$373.00.

Is it worth betting on Palermo?

🔴 Palermo: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 51.57% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.45. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 520 times – having a profit of $754.00;
  • And would lose other 480 times – losing -$480.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$274.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Mantova x Palermo

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Mantova
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Mantova x Palermo

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.25 Mantova, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 0.0 Mantova.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.0 Mantova.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Mantova x Palermo

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.50 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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