Maranhao x AE Altos Betting tips for April 19 in Brazil Serie D

Our betting tip for Maranhao x AE Altos, Saturday, 19/4/2025

📅 19/4/2025 19:00

Maranhao 2.40

X 2.90

AE Altos 2.80

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Maranhao x AE Altos:

👎 Unfortunately, we did not find any positive expected value bets for Maranhao x AE Altos

The main points for the tip for Maranhao x AE Altos: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Maranhao in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-106.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on AE Altos in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $700.0. 👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team, Maranhao scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 6 Maranhao matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 3 AE Altos matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team, Maranhao conceded at least 1 goal(s).

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Analysis from Maranhao x AE Altos for the Brazil Serie D – 19 of April

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Maranhao and AE Altos.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1306590 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Maranhao x AE Altos

Is betting on Maranhao worth it?

🔵 Maranhao: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 40.57% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.40. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 410 times – this would give you a profit of $574.00
• And would lose other 590 times – losing -$590.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$16.00.

Is it worth betting on draw?

⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 27.2%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.90. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 270 times – this would give you a profit of $513.00
• And would have lost other 730 times – with a loss of -$730.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$217.00.

Is it worth betting on AE Altos?

🔴 AE Altos: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 32.23% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.80. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 320 times – having a profit of $576.00;
• And would lose other 680 times – having a loss of -$680.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$104.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Maranhao x AE Altos

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Maranhao
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Maranhao x AE Altos

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.25 Maranhao and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 0.0 Maranhao.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.0 Maranhao.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Maranhao x AE Altos

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.00 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.00 goals.