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Home » Predictions » Maranhao x Imperatriz Betting tips for February 2 in Brazil Campeonato Maranhense
Sunday, 02 February 2025, 19h00 Brazil Campeonato Maranhense
Maranhao Maranhao
PREDICTION No tip
Imperatriz Imperatriz
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Maranhao x Imperatriz Betting tips for February 2 in Brazil Campeonato Maranhense

Our betting tip for Maranhao x Imperatriz, Sunday, 2/2/2025
📅 2/2/2025
19:00
Maranhao Maranhao
2.10
X
3.10
Imperatriz Imperatriz
3.18

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Maranhao x Imperatriz:

👎 Umm…what a pity! We do not have any positive expected value tips for Maranhao x Imperatriz

Some important points for the tip for Maranhao x Imperatriz:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Maranhao in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-23.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Imperatriz in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-255.0.
👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team against Imperatriz, Maranhao scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 5 head-to-head matches between Maranhao x Imperatriz, with Maranhao as the home team, they finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 6 matches as the away team, Imperatriz conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 Maranhao has not lost any of the last 5 head-to-head matches against Imperatriz playing at home.

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Summary

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Analysis from Maranhao x Imperatriz for the Brazil Campeonato Maranhense – 2 of February

🏟️ Maranhao X Imperatriz – Brazil Campeonato Maranhense
📅 2 of February, 2025 – 19:00
🔵 Maranhao – Winning probability: 48.31% | Fair line: 2.07
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 28.46% | Fair line: 3.51
🔴 Imperatriz – Winning probability: 23.23% | Fair line: 4.3
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Maranhao
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.50 corner kicks

When the best bet on Maranhao x Imperatriz is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1255121 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Maranhao x Imperatriz

Is it a good idea to bet on Maranhao?

🔵 Maranhao: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 48.31%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.10. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 480 times – profiting $528.00;
  • And would have lost other 520 times – with a loss of -$520.00 because of them.

Although this bet has some value, notice that the expected profit is just 💰$8.00, which is not worth the risk in our point of view.

Is it worth betting on draw?

draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 28.46%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.10. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 280 times – having a profit of $588.00;
  • And would have lost other 720 times – with a loss of -$720.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$132.00.

Is it worth betting on Imperatriz?

🔴 Imperatriz: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 23.23%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.18. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 230 times – having a profit of $501.40;
  • And would lose other 770 times – losing -$770.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$268.60.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Maranhao x Imperatriz

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Maranhao
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Maranhao x Imperatriz

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.75 Maranhao and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.25 Maranhao.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.25 Maranhao.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Maranhao x Imperatriz

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.

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Written by
Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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