Marchamalo x CD Noblejas Betting tips for January 11 in Spain Tercera Group 18

Our betting tip for Marchamalo x CD Noblejas, Saturday, 11/1/2025

📅 11/1/2025 15:30

Marchamalo 2.30

X 2.96

CD Noblejas 2.90

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Marchamalo x CD Noblejas:

👎 Umm…what a pity! We do not have any positive expected value tips for Marchamalo x CD Noblejas

Some important points for the tip for Marchamalo x CD Noblejas: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Marchamalo in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $205.0. 👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team, Marchamalo scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 3 Marchamalo matches as the home team, it finished over 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team, Marchamalo conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 8 matches as the away team, CD Noblejas conceded at least 1 goal(s).

Looking for another bookie to bet on Marchamalo x CD Noblejas?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Marchamalo x CD Noblejas, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2025. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Marchamalo x CD Noblejas for the Spain Tercera Group 18 – 11 of January

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Marchamalo and CD Noblejas.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1244516 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Marchamalo x CD Noblejas

Is betting on Marchamalo worth it?

🔵 Marchamalo: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 41.11% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.30. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 410 times – profiting $533.00;
• And would have lost other 590 times – with a loss of -$590.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$57.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 29.8% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.96. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would have hit 300 times – having a profit of $588.00;
• And would lose other 700 times – having a loss of -$700.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$112.00.

Is it worth betting on CD Noblejas?

🔴 CD Noblejas: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 29.09% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.90. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 290 times – having a profit of $551.00;
• And would have lost other 710 times – with a loss of -$710.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$159.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Marchamalo x CD Noblejas

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Marchamalo
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Marchamalo x CD Noblejas

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 0.0 Marchamalo, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.25 Marchamalo.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.25 CD Noblejas.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Marchamalo x CD Noblejas

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.00 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.00 goals.