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Home Β» Predictions Β» Others Β» Marine x Southport Betting tips for March 11 in England National League North
Tuesday, 11 March 2025, 19h45 England National League North
Marine Marine
PREDICTION No tip
Southport Southport
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Marine x Southport Betting tips for March 11 in England National League North

Our betting tip for Marine x Southport, Tuesday, 11/3/2025
πŸ“… 11/3/2025
19:45
Marine Marine
2.25
X
3.05
Southport Southport
3.10

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Marine x Southport:

πŸ‘Ž Unfortunately, we did not find any positive expected value bets for Marine x Southport

Important information for your tip for Marine x Southport:

πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Marine in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $105.0.
πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Southport in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-30.0.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 6 matches as the home team, Marine scored at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ In the last 3 Southport matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 6 Marine matches as the home team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 6 matches as the home team, Marine conceded at least 1 goal(s).

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Summary

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Analysis from Marine x Southport for the England National League North – 11 of March

🏟️ Marine X Southport – England National League North
πŸ“… 11 of March, 2025 – 19:45
πŸ”΅ Marine – Winning probability: 33.86% | Fair line: 2.95
βšͺ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 30.41% | Fair line: 3.29
πŸ”΄ Southport – Winning probability: 35.73% | Fair line: 2.8
βš– Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Marine
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
β›³ Expected corner kicks: 9.50 corner kicks

When the best bet on Marine x Southport is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1279005 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Marine x Southport

Is betting on Marine worth it?

πŸ”΅ Marine: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 33.86% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.25. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 340 times – having a profit of $425.00;
  • And would lose other 660 times – having a loss of -$660.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of πŸ’°-$235.00.

Is betting on draw worth it?

βšͺ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 30.41%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.05. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 300 times – this would give you a profit of $615.00
  • And would have lost other 700 times – with a loss of -$700.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of πŸ’°-$85.00.

Is it worth betting on Southport?

πŸ”΄ Southport: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 35.73% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.10. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 360 times – this would give you a profit of $756.00
  • And would have lost other 640 times – with a loss of -$640.00 because of them.

It is a low stake bet, since after all you would have an final expected profit of just πŸ’°$116.00. Which is not even that worthy considering the risk!

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Handicaps analysis for the match Marine x Southport

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

βš– Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Marine
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Marine x Southport

βš– Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.25 Marine, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.25 Marine.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Marine x Southport

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.

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Written by
Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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