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Home » Predictions » Others » Maringa FC x Independiente FSJ Betting tips for January 12 in Brazil Campeonato Paranaense
Sunday, 12 January 2025, 21h30 Brazil Campeonato Paranaense
Maringa FC Maringa FC
PREDICTION Maringa FC wins Probability 96% 1 X 2
Independiente FSJ Independiente FSJ
ODD: @1.35 Don't miss this prediction!

Maringa FC x Independiente FSJ Betting tips for January 12 in Brazil Campeonato Paranaense

Our betting tip for Maringa FC x Independiente FSJ, Sunday, 12/1/2025
📅 12/1/2025
21:30
Maringa FC Maringa FC
1.35
X
4.20
Independiente FSJ Independiente FSJ
7.80

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Maringa FC x Independiente FSJ:

🔮 Maringa FC wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Maringa FC, you can win up to $675.00!

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The main points for the tip for Maringa FC x Independiente FSJ:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Maringa FC in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $60.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Independiente FSJ in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500.
👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, Independiente FSJ scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 Maringa FC matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 3 Independiente FSJ matches as the away team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 8 matches as the away team, Independiente FSJ conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 It is not a good time for Independiente FSJ as away team: it comes from 4 losses in a row in its last away matches.

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Summary

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Analysis from Maringa FC x Independiente FSJ for the Brazil Campeonato Paranaense – 12 of January

🏟️ Maringa FC X Independiente FSJ – Brazil Campeonato Paranaense
📅 12 of January, 2025 – 21:30
🔵 Maringa FC – Winning probability: 96.09% | Fair line: 1.04
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 3.00% | Fair line: 33.37
🔴 Independiente FSJ – Winning probability: 0.91% | Fair line: 109.43
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.5 Maringa FC
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 10.25 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Maringa FC x Independiente FSJ right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1245132 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Maringa FC x Independiente FSJ

Should you bet on Maringa FC?

🔵 Maringa FC: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 96.09% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.35. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 960 times – this would give you a profit of $336.00
  • And would lose other 40 times – losing -$40.00 with them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$296.00.

Is betting on draw worth it?

draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 3.0% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 4.20. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 30 times – this would give you a profit of $96.00
  • And would lose other 970 times – having a loss of -$970.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$874.00.

Should you bet on Independiente FSJ?

🔴 Independiente FSJ: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 0.91% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 7.80. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 10 times – having a profit of $68.00;
  • And would have lost other 990 times – with a loss of -$990.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$922.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Maringa FC x Independiente FSJ

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.5 Maringa FC
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Maringa FC x Independiente FSJ

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -1.5 Maringa FC and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -1.25 Maringa FC.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -1.25 Maringa FC.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Maringa FC x Independiente FSJ

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 1.00, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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