Maringa FC x Independiente FSJ Betting tips for January 12 in Brazil Campeonato Paranaense
📅 12/1/2025 21:30 |
Maringa FC 1.35 |
X 4.20 |
Independiente FSJ 7.80 |
Our algorithm has selected this tip for Maringa FC x Independiente FSJ:
🔮 Maringa FC wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Maringa FC, you can win up to $675.00!
The main points for the tip for Maringa FC x Independiente FSJ: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Maringa FC in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $60.0. |
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Analysis from Maringa FC x Independiente FSJ for the Brazil Campeonato Paranaense – 12 of January
🏟️ Maringa FC X Independiente FSJ – Brazil Campeonato Paranaense |
Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Maringa FC x Independiente FSJ right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.
Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1245132 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:
Tips for the Match Odds market for Maringa FC x Independiente FSJ
Should you bet on Maringa FC?
🔵 Maringa FC: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 96.09% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.35. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 960 times – this would give you a profit of $336.00
- And would lose other 40 times – losing -$40.00 with them.
So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$296.00.
Is betting on draw worth it?
⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 3.0% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 4.20. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 30 times – this would give you a profit of $96.00
- And would lose other 970 times – having a loss of -$970.00 with them.
We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$874.00.
Should you bet on Independiente FSJ?
🔴 Independiente FSJ: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 0.91% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 7.80. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 10 times – having a profit of $68.00;
- And would have lost other 990 times – with a loss of -$990.00 because of them.
That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$922.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match Maringa FC x Independiente FSJ
Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.
These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.5 Maringa FC
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Maringa FC x Independiente FSJ
⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -1.5 Maringa FC and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -1.25 Maringa FC.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -1.25 Maringa FC.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Maringa FC x Independiente FSJ
⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 1.00, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.