Marino de Luanco x Numancia Betting tips for March 9 in Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 1

Our betting tip for Marino de Luanco x Numancia, Sunday, 9/3/2025

📅 9/3/2025 16:00

Marino de Luanco 4.20

X 3.10

Numancia 1.80

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Marino de Luanco x Numancia:

👎 Unfortunately, we do not have any positive expected value tips for Marino de Luanco x Numancia

The main points for the tip for Marino de Luanco x Numancia: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Marino de Luanco in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $100.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Numancia in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-90.0. 👉 In the last 5 road matches, Numancia has not lost any of them.

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Analysis from Marino de Luanco x Numancia for the Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 1 – 9 of March

When the best bet on Marino de Luanco x Numancia is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1277138 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Marino de Luanco x Numancia

Is betting on Marino de Luanco worth it?

🔵 Marino de Luanco: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 10.95%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 4.20. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 110 times – this would give you a profit of $352.00
• And would lose other 890 times – losing -$890.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$538.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 33.54% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.10. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 340 times – having a profit of $714.00;
• And would have lost other 660 times – with a loss of -$660.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$54.00.

Is it worth betting on Numancia?

🔴 Numancia: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 55.51% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.80. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 560 times – profiting $448.00;
• And would have lost other 440 times – with a loss of -$440.00 because of them.

Even if it is a positive expected value bet, the expected profit is just 💰$8.00 which is not worth the risk in our opinion.

Handicaps analysis for the match Marino de Luanco x Numancia

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.75 Marino de Luanco
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Marino de Luanco x Numancia

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +0.75 Marino de Luanco, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +0.5 Marino de Luanco.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.5 Numancia.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Marino de Luanco x Numancia

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.00 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.00 goals.