Maritimo B x AD Camacha Betting tips for November 30 in Portugal Campeonato Nacional

Our betting tip for Maritimo B x AD Camacha, Saturday, 30/11/2024

📅 30/11/2024 15:00

Maritimo B 2.60

X 3.00

AD Camacha 2.59

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Maritimo B x AD Camacha:

👎 Umm…what a pity! We do not have any positive expected value tips for Maritimo B x AD Camacha

The main points for the tip for Maritimo B x AD Camacha: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Maritimo B in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-125.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on AD Camacha in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $175.0. 👉 In the last 4 matches as the away team, AD Camacha scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team against AD Camacha, Maritimo B scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 Maritimo B has not lost any of the last 4 head-to-head matches against AD Camacha playing at home.

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Analysis from Maritimo B x AD Camacha for the Portugal Campeonato Nacional – 30 of November

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Maritimo B x AD Camacha right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1229690 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Maritimo B x AD Camacha

Is betting on Maritimo B worth it?

🔵 Maritimo B: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 33.38% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.60. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 330 times – this would give you a profit of $528.00
• And would have lost other 670 times – with a loss of -$670.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$142.00.

Should you bet on draw?

⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 29.97%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.00. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 300 times – profiting $600.00;
• And would have lost other 700 times – with a loss of -$700.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$100.00.

Is betting on AD Camacha worth it?

🔴 AD Camacha: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 36.65% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.59. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 370 times – profiting $588.30;
• And would have lost other 630 times – with a loss of -$630.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$41.70.

Handicaps analysis for the match Maritimo B x AD Camacha

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Maritimo B
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Maritimo B x AD Camacha

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.25 Maritimo B and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 0.0 Maritimo B.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.0 Maritimo B.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Maritimo B x AD Camacha

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.00 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.00 goals.