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Home Β» Predictions Β» Others Β» Maritimo x Benfica B Betting tips for December 1 in Portugal Segunda Liga
Sunday, 01 December 2024, 15h30 Portugal Segunda Liga
Maritimo Maritimo
PREDICTION No tip
Benfica B Benfica B
Don't miss this prediction!

Maritimo x Benfica B Betting tips for December 1 in Portugal Segunda Liga

Our betting tip for Maritimo x Benfica B, Sunday, 1/12/2024
πŸ“… 1/12/2024
15:30
Maritimo Maritimo
1.96
X
3.30
Benfica B Benfica B
3.42

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Maritimo x Benfica B:

πŸ‘Ž Umm…what a pity! We do not have any positive expected value tips for Maritimo x Benfica B

Some important points for the tip for Maritimo x Benfica B:

πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Maritimo in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-330.0.
πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Benfica B in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $310.0.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 5 matches as the home team, Maritimo scored at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ In the last 7 matches as the away team, Benfica B scored at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ In the last 4 road matches, Benfica B has not lost any of them.

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Summary

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Analysis from Maritimo x Benfica B for the Portugal Segunda Liga – 1 of December

🏟️ Maritimo X Benfica B – Portugal Segunda Liga
πŸ“… 1 of December, 2024 – 15:30
πŸ”΅ Maritimo – Winning probability: 44.24% | Fair line: 2.26
βšͺ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 31.90% | Fair line: 3.13
πŸ”΄ Benfica B – Winning probability: 23.86% | Fair line: 4.19
βš– Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Maritimo
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
β›³ Expected corner kicks: 9.50 corner kicks

When the best bet on Maritimo x Benfica B is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1230121 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Maritimo x Benfica B

Is it worth betting on Maritimo?

πŸ”΅ Maritimo: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 44.24% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.96. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 440 times – having a profit of $422.40;
  • And would lose other 560 times – having a loss of -$560.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of πŸ’°-$137.60.

Should you bet on draw?

βšͺ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 31.9%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.30. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 320 times – having a profit of $736.00;
  • And would have lost other 680 times – with a loss of -$680.00 because of them.

Although this bet has some value, notice that the expected profit is just πŸ’°$56.00, which is not worth the risk in our point of view.

Should you bet on Benfica B?

πŸ”΄ Benfica B: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 23.86% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.42. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 240 times – this would give you a profit of $580.80
  • And would lose other 760 times – having a loss of -$760.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of πŸ’°-$179.20.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Maritimo x Benfica B

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

βš– Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Maritimo
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Maritimo x Benfica B

βš– Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.5 Maritimo and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.5 Maritimo.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Maritimo x Benfica B

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.50 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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