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Home » Predictions » Others » Maritimo x Felgueiras 1932 Betting tips for March 15 in Portugal Segunda Liga
Saturday, 15 March 2025, 14h00 Portugal Segunda Liga
Maritimo Maritimo
PREDICTION No tip
Felgueiras 1932 Felgueiras 1932
Don't miss this prediction!

Maritimo x Felgueiras 1932 Betting tips for March 15 in Portugal Segunda Liga

Our betting tip for Maritimo x Felgueiras 1932, Saturday, 15/3/2025
📅 15/3/2025
14:00
Maritimo Maritimo
2.22
X
3.15
Felgueiras 1932 Felgueiras 1932
3.00

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Maritimo x Felgueiras 1932:

👎 Unfortunately, we do not have any positive expected value tips for Maritimo x Felgueiras 1932

The main points for the tip for Maritimo x Felgueiras 1932:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Maritimo in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-325.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Felgueiras 1932 in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-309.0.
👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team, Maritimo scored at least 1 goal(s).

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Summary

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Analysis from Maritimo x Felgueiras 1932 for the Portugal Segunda Liga – 15 of March

🏟️ Maritimo X Felgueiras 1932 – Portugal Segunda Liga
📅 15 of March, 2025 – 14:00
🔵 Maritimo – Winning probability: 40.52% | Fair line: 2.47
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 30.67% | Fair line: 3.26
🔴 Felgueiras 1932 – Winning probability: 28.81% | Fair line: 3.47
⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Maritimo
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.75 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Maritimo x Felgueiras 1932 right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1281364 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Maritimo x Felgueiras 1932

Is it worth betting on Maritimo?

🔵 Maritimo: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 40.52% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.22. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 410 times – having a profit of $500.20;
  • And would lose other 590 times – losing -$590.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$89.80.

Is betting on draw worth it?

draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 30.67% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.15. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 310 times – having a profit of $666.50;
  • And would have lost other 690 times – with a loss of -$690.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$23.50.

Is betting on Felgueiras 1932 worth it?

🔴 Felgueiras 1932: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 28.81% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.00. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 290 times – having a profit of $580.00;
  • And would lose other 710 times – losing -$710.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$130.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Maritimo x Felgueiras 1932

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Maritimo
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Maritimo x Felgueiras 1932

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 0.0 Maritimo and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.25 Maritimo.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.25 Felgueiras 1932.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Maritimo x Felgueiras 1932

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by
Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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