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Home » Predictions » Others » Maritimo x Penafiel Betting tips for November 2 in Portugal Segunda Liga
Saturday, 02 November 2024, 14h00 Portugal Segunda Liga
Maritimo Maritimo
PREDICTION Maritimo wins Probability 59% 1 X 2
Penafiel Penafiel
ODD: @1.8 Don't miss this prediction!

Maritimo x Penafiel Betting tips for November 2 in Portugal Segunda Liga

Our betting tip for Maritimo x Penafiel, Saturday, 2/11/2024
📅 2/11/2024
14:00
Maritimo Maritimo
1.80
X
3.50
Penafiel Penafiel
3.94

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Maritimo x Penafiel:

🔮 Maritimo wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Maritimo, you can win up to $900.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Some important points for the tip for Maritimo x Penafiel:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Maritimo in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-330.0.
👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team, Maritimo scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 7 matches as the away team, Penafiel scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 4 head-to-head matches between Maritimo x Penafiel, with Maritimo as the home team, they finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 5 road matches, Penafiel has not lost any of them.
👉 Maritimo has not lost any of the last 4 head-to-head matches against Penafiel playing at home.

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Summary

Do you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Maritimo x Penafiel?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Maritimo x Penafiel, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2024. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Maritimo x Penafiel for the Portugal Segunda Liga – 2 of November

🏟️ Maritimo X Penafiel – Portugal Segunda Liga
📅 2 of November, 2024 – 14:00
🔵 Maritimo – Winning probability: 59.26% | Fair line: 1.69
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 25.09% | Fair line: 3.99
🔴 Penafiel – Winning probability: 15.65% | Fair line: 6.39
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Maritimo
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 10.00 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Maritimo x Penafiel right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1213968 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Maritimo x Penafiel

Is betting on Maritimo worth it?

🔵 Maritimo: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 59.26% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.80. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 590 times – having a profit of $472.00;
  • And would have lost other 410 times – with a loss of -$410.00 because of them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$62.00.

Is betting on draw worth it?

draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 25.09% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.50. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 250 times – profiting $625.00;
  • And would have lost other 750 times – with a loss of -$750.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$125.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on Penafiel?

🔴 Penafiel: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 15.65%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.94. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 160 times – this would give you a profit of $470.40
  • And would lose other 840 times – having a loss of -$840.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$369.60.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Handicaps analysis for the match Maritimo x Penafiel

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Maritimo
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Maritimo x Penafiel

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.75 Maritimo and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.5 Maritimo.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.5 Maritimo.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Maritimo x Penafiel

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.50 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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