Marlow x Frome Town Betting tips for November 30 in England Southern Premier League South

Our betting tip for Marlow x Frome Town, Saturday, 30/11/2024

📅 30/11/2024 15:00

Marlow 2.25

X 3.46

Frome Town 2.66

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Marlow x Frome Town:

👎 Unfortunately, we did not find any positive expected value bets for Marlow x Frome Town

Important information for your tip for Marlow x Frome Town: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Marlow in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-150.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Frome Town in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500. 👉 In the last 7 matches as the home team, Marlow conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, Frome Town conceded at least 1 goal(s).

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Analysis from Marlow x Frome Town for the England Southern Premier League South – 30 of November

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Marlow x Frome Town right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1229690 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Marlow x Frome Town

Is betting on Marlow worth it?

🔵 Marlow: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 36.61%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.25. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 370 times – this would give you a profit of $462.50
• And would lose other 630 times – losing -$630.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$167.50.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 25.82% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.46. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 260 times – having a profit of $639.60;
• And would lose other 740 times – losing -$740.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$100.40.

Is it a good idea to bet on Frome Town?

🔴 Frome Town: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 37.57% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.66. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 380 times – this would give you a profit of $630.80
• And would lose other 620 times – having a loss of -$620.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$10.80.

Handicaps analysis for the match Marlow x Frome Town

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Marlow
⚽ Expected goals: 3.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Marlow x Frome Town

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 0.0 Marlow and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.25 Marlow.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.25 Frome Town.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Marlow x Frome Town

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 3.00 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 3.00 goals.