Marupes SC x JFK Ventspils Betting tips for July 5 in Latvia 1. Liga

Our betting tip for Marupes SC x JFK Ventspils, Saturday, 5/7/2025

📅 5/7/2025 15:00

Marupes SC 2.11

X 3.72

JFK Ventspils 2.72

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Marupes SC x JFK Ventspils:

👎 Unfortunately, we do not have any positive expected value tips for Marupes SC x JFK Ventspils

Important information for your tip for Marupes SC x JFK Ventspils:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Marupes SC in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $20.0.
👉 In the last 7 matches as the home team, Marupes SC scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 8 matches as the away team, JFK Ventspils scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 Marupes SC matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 3 JFK Ventspils matches as the away team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 8 road matches, JFK Ventspils has not lost any of them.

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Analysis from Marupes SC x JFK Ventspils for the Latvia 1. Liga – 5 of July

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Marupes SC x JFK Ventspils right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1348486 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Marupes SC x JFK Ventspils

Is it worth betting on Marupes SC?

🔵 Marupes SC: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 37.26% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.11. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 370 times – this would give you a profit of $410.70
• And would lose other 630 times – having a loss of -$630.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$219.30.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 21.09% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.72. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 210 times – having a profit of $571.20;
• And would lose other 790 times – losing -$790.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$218.80.

Is it a good idea to bet on JFK Ventspils?

🔴 JFK Ventspils: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 41.65% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.72. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 420 times – having a profit of $722.40;
• And would lose other 580 times – losing -$580.00 with them.

It is a low stake bet, since after all you would have an final expected profit of just 💰$142.40. Which is not even that worthy considering the risk!

Handicaps analysis for the match Marupes SC x JFK Ventspils

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Marupes SC
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Marupes SC x JFK Ventspils

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +0.25 Marupes SC and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.25 Marupes SC.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.25 JFK Ventspils.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Marupes SC x JFK Ventspils

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 3.00 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 3.00 goals.