Matera x US Palmese 1914 Betting tips for March 9 in Italy Serie D
| 📅 9/3/2025 13:30 |
 Matera1.80 |
X 3.25 |
US Palmese 1914  4.00 |
This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Matera x US Palmese 1914:
🔮 Matera wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Matera, you can win up to $900.00!
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Important information for your tip for Matera x US Palmese 1914: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Matera in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-43.0. |
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Analysis from Matera x US Palmese 1914 for the Italy Serie D – 9 of March
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🏟️ Matera X US Palmese 1914 – Italy Serie D |
A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Matera and US Palmese 1914.
And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1277138 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:
Tips for the 1×2 market for Matera x US Palmese 1914
Is betting on Matera worth it?
🔵 Matera: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 60.49%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.80. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 600 times – profiting $480.00;
- And would lose other 400 times – losing -$400.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$80.00.
Is it worth betting on draw?
⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 26.75%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.25. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 270 times – profiting $607.50;
- And would have lost other 730 times – with a loss of -$730.00 because of them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$122.50.
Is betting on US Palmese 1914 worth it?
🔴 US Palmese 1914: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 12.76%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 4.00. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 130 times – this would give you a profit of $390.00
- And would have lost other 870 times – with a loss of -$870.00 because of them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$480.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match Matera x US Palmese 1914
Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.
Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Matera
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Matera x US Palmese 1914
⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.75 Matera, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.5 Matera.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.5 Matera.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Matera x US Palmese 1914
⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.
