Mbale Heroes x Express FC Betting tips for April 16 in Uganda Premier League

Our betting tip for Mbale Heroes x Express FC, Wednesday, 16/4/2025

📅 16/4/2025 13:00

Mbale Heroes 2.55

X 3.24

Express FC 2.49

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Mbale Heroes x Express FC:

👎 Unfortunately, we did not find any positive expected value bets for Mbale Heroes x Express FC

The main points for the tip for Mbale Heroes x Express FC: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Mbale Heroes in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-500. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Express FC in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-280.0. 👉 In the last 6 matches as the home team, Mbale Heroes conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 4 matches as the away team, Express FC conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 It is not a good time for Express FC as away team: it comes from 4 losses in a row in its last away matches.

Do you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Mbale Heroes x Express FC?

If you want to take a look at more options of betting websites, we, from the Clube, have listed our favorites for you. Right below you can check the best kenyan betting sites from 2025, carefully analysed by us. Pick yours and start betting now on Mbale Heroes x Express FC:

Analysis from Mbale Heroes x Express FC for the Uganda Premier League – 16 of April

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Mbale Heroes and Express FC.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1304980 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Mbale Heroes x Express FC

Should you bet on Mbale Heroes?

🔵 Mbale Heroes: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 33.07% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.55. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 330 times – this would give you a profit of $511.50
• And would lose other 670 times – losing -$670.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$158.50.

Is it worth betting on draw?

⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 25.9%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.24. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 260 times – this would give you a profit of $582.40
• And would lose other 740 times – losing -$740.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$157.60.

Is it a good idea to bet on Express FC?

🔴 Express FC: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 41.03%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.49. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would have hit 410 times – having a profit of $610.90;
• And would lose other 590 times – losing -$590.00 with them.

Even if it is a positive expected value bet, the expected profit is just 💰$20.90 which is not worth the risk in our opinion.

Handicaps analysis for the match Mbale Heroes x Express FC

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Mbale Heroes
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Mbale Heroes x Express FC

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +0.25 Mbale Heroes, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 0.0 Mbale Heroes.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.0 Express FC.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Mbale Heroes x Express FC

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals.

Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Goals Handicap market.