📊 Check out the analysis on Betfellows for this match: Full prognostic for Mbeya City x Simba Sports Club
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Analysis from Mbeya City x Simba Sports Club for the Tanzania Premier League – 17 of January
🏟️ Mbeya City X Simba Sports Club – Tanzania Premier League
When the best bet on Mbeya City x Simba Sports Club is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.
And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 288303 matches on the database from our soccer prognostics platform, Betfellows, looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:
Tips for the Match Odds market for Mbeya City x Simba Sports Club
Is betting on Mbeya City worth it?
🔵 Mbeya City: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 7.78% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 5.60. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 80 times – this would give you a profit of $368.00
- And would lose other 920 times – losing -$920.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$552.00.
Is it worth betting on draw?
⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 35.22% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.00. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 350 times – profiting $700.00;
- And would lose other 650 times – losing -$650.00 with them.
It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$50.00.
Is it worth betting on Simba Sports Club?
🔴 Simba Sports Club: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 57.0% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.66. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 570 times – profiting $376.20;
- And would lose other 430 times – having a loss of -$430.00 with them.
That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$53.80.
Handicaps analysis for the match Mbeya City x Simba Sports Club
The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.
These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +1.0 Mbeya City
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Mbeya City x Simba Sports Club
⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +1.0 Mbeya City, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +1.0 Mbeya City.
Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Mbeya City x Simba Sports Club
⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.00 goals.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.75, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.00 goals.
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Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.> Check other content created by Humberto Alves