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Home ยป Predictions ยป Others ยป Mekelakeya x Arba Minch Betting tips for April 15 in Ethiopia Premier League
Tuesday, 15 April 2025, 15h00 Ethiopia Premier League
Mekelakeya Mekelakeya
PREDICTION Mekelakeya wins Probability 52% 1 X 2
Arba Minch Arba Minch
ODD: @1.98 Don't miss this prediction!

Mekelakeya x Arba Minch Betting tips for April 15 in Ethiopia Premier League

Our betting tip for Mekelakeya x Arba Minch, Tuesday, 15/4/2025
๐Ÿ“… 15/4/2025
15:00
Mekelakeya Mekelakeya
1.98
X
2.90
Arba Minch Arba Minch
3.76

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Mekelakeya x Arba Minch:

๐Ÿ”ฎ Mekelakeya wins the match
๐Ÿ’ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Mekelakeya, you can win up to $990.00!

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The main points for the tip for Mekelakeya x Arba Minch:

๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Mekelakeya in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-68.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Arba Minch in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-80.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 4 matches as the away team, Arba Minch scored at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 3 Arba Minch matches as the away team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 3 matches as the away team, Arba Minch conceded at least 1 goal(s).

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Summary

Do you want other suggestions of bookmakers to bet on Mekelakeya x Arba Minch?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Mekelakeya x Arba Minch, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2025. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Mekelakeya x Arba Minch for the Ethiopia Premier League – 15 of April

๐ŸŸ๏ธ Mekelakeya X Arba Minch – Ethiopia Premier League
๐Ÿ“… 15 of April, 2025 – 15:00
๐Ÿ”ต Mekelakeya – Winning probability: 52.15% | Fair line: 1.92
โšช Tied game – Probability of tied match: 30.93% | Fair line: 3.23
๐Ÿ”ด Arba Minch – Winning probability: 16.92% | Fair line: 5.91
โš– Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Mekelakeya
โšฝ Expected goals: 2.00 goals
โ›ณ Expected corner kicks: 8.00 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Mekelakeya x Arba Minch right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1304083 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Mekelakeya x Arba Minch

Should you bet on Mekelakeya?

๐Ÿ”ต Mekelakeya: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 52.15% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.98. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 520 times – this would give you a profit of $509.60
  • And would lose other 480 times – having a loss of -$480.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of ๐Ÿ’ฐ$29.60.

Is it worth betting on draw?

โšช draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 30.93% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.90. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 310 times – this would give you a profit of $589.00
  • And would lose other 690 times – losing -$690.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$101.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on Arba Minch?

๐Ÿ”ด Arba Minch: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 16.92% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.76. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 170 times – this would give you a profit of $469.20
  • And would lose other 830 times – having a loss of -$830.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$360.80.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Mekelakeya x Arba Minch

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

โš– Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Mekelakeya
โšฝ Expected goals: 2.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Mekelakeya x Arba Minch

โš– Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 0.0 Mekelakeya, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.5 Mekelakeya.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.5 Arba Minch.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Mekelakeya x Arba Minch

โšฝ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.00 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: – 2.25 goals.

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Written by
Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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