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Home » Predictions » Others » Mekelakeya x Fasil Kenema Betting tips for March 12 in Ethiopia Premier League
Wednesday, 12 March 2025, 12h00 Ethiopia Premier League
Mekelakeya Mekelakeya
PREDICTION Mekelakeya wins Probability 42% 1 X 2
Fasil Kenema Fasil Kenema
ODD: @2.24 Don't miss this prediction!

Mekelakeya x Fasil Kenema Betting tips for March 12 in Ethiopia Premier League

Our betting tip for Mekelakeya x Fasil Kenema, Wednesday, 12/3/2025
📅 12/3/2025
12:00
Mekelakeya Mekelakeya
2.24
X
2.89
Fasil Kenema Fasil Kenema
3.22

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Mekelakeya x Fasil Kenema:

🔮 Mekelakeya wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Mekelakeya, you can win up to $1120.00!

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Some important points for the tip for Mekelakeya x Fasil Kenema:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Mekelakeya in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-300.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Fasil Kenema in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $280.0.
👉 In the last 5 Mekelakeya matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals.

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Summary

Do you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Mekelakeya x Fasil Kenema?

If you want to take a look at more options of betting websites, we, from the Clube, have listed our favorites for you. Right below you can check the best kenyan betting sites from 2025, carefully analysed by us. Pick yours and start betting now on Mekelakeya x Fasil Kenema:

Analysis from Mekelakeya x Fasil Kenema for the Ethiopia Premier League – 12 of March

🏟️ Mekelakeya X Fasil Kenema – Ethiopia Premier League
📅 12 of March, 2025 – 12:00
🔵 Mekelakeya – Winning probability: 42.07% | Fair line: 2.38
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 34.01% | Fair line: 2.94
🔴 Fasil Kenema – Winning probability: 23.92% | Fair line: 4.18
⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Mekelakeya
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.50 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Mekelakeya x Fasil Kenema right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1280306 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Mekelakeya x Fasil Kenema

Should you bet on Mekelakeya?

🔵 Mekelakeya: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 42.07% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.24. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 420 times – this would give you a profit of $520.80
  • And would lose other 580 times – losing -$580.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$59.20.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 34.01% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.89. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 340 times – this would give you a profit of $642.60
  • And would lose other 660 times – losing -$660.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$17.40.

Is betting on Fasil Kenema worth it?

🔴 Fasil Kenema: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 23.92%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.22. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 240 times – this would give you a profit of $532.80
  • And would lose other 760 times – losing -$760.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$227.20.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Mekelakeya x Fasil Kenema

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Mekelakeya
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Mekelakeya x Fasil Kenema

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 0.0 Mekelakeya and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.25 Mekelakeya.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.25 Fasil Kenema.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Mekelakeya x Fasil Kenema

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.00 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.00 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 1.00, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.00 goals.

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Written by
Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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