Mekelakeya x Hadiya Hossana Betting tips for January 6 in Ethiopia Premier League

Our betting tip for Mekelakeya x Hadiya Hossana, Monday, 6/1/2025

📅 6/1/2025 15:00

Mekelakeya 1.90

X 3.00

Hadiya Hossana 3.94

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Mekelakeya x Hadiya Hossana:

👎 Unfortunately, we did not find any positive expected value bets for Mekelakeya x Hadiya Hossana

The main points for the tip for Mekelakeya x Hadiya Hossana: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Mekelakeya in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $338.0. 👉 Hadiya Hossana did not concede a goal in the last 3 matches as away team. 👉 In the last 6 Hadiya Hossana matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 3 road matches, Hadiya Hossana has not lost any of them.

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Analysis from Mekelakeya x Hadiya Hossana for the Ethiopia Premier League – 6 of January

When the best bet on Mekelakeya x Hadiya Hossana is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1242357 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Mekelakeya x Hadiya Hossana

Is it worth betting on Mekelakeya?

🔵 Mekelakeya: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 53.38% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.90. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 530 times – having a profit of $477.00;
• And would lose other 470 times – losing -$470.00 with them.

Although this bet has some value, notice that the expected profit is just 💰$7.00, which is not worth the risk in our point of view.

Is betting on draw worth it?

⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 31.82% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.00. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 320 times – profiting $640.00;
• And would have lost other 680 times – with a loss of -$680.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$40.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on Hadiya Hossana?

🔴 Hadiya Hossana: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 14.8%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.94. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 150 times – profiting $441.00;
• And would have lost other 850 times – with a loss of -$850.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$409.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Mekelakeya x Hadiya Hossana

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Mekelakeya
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Mekelakeya x Hadiya Hossana

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.5 Mekelakeya and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.5 Mekelakeya.

Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Mekelakeya x Hadiya Hossana

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.00 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.00 goals.