Melbourne City x Newcastle Jets Betting tips for March 12 in Australia A-League

Our betting tip for Melbourne City x Newcastle Jets, Wednesday, 12/3/2025

📅 12/3/2025 08:00

Melbourne City 1.62

X 4.00

Newcastle Jets 4.70

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Melbourne City x Newcastle Jets:

🔮 Melbourne City wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Melbourne City, you can win up to $810.00!

Make this bet on Bet365 now!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com 

The main points for the tip for Melbourne City x Newcastle Jets: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Melbourne City in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $310.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Newcastle Jets in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $290.0. 👉 Melbourne City did not concede a goal in the last 5 matches as home team. 👉 In the last 6 matches as the home team, Melbourne City scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 6 matches as the away team, Newcastle Jets scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 5 Melbourne City matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 3 Newcastle Jets matches as the away team, it finished over 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, Newcastle Jets conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 Melbourne City is good playing home: it has 5 wins in a row in its last matches at home. 👉 Melbourne City has not lost any of the last 3 head-to-head matches against Newcastle Jets playing at home.

Looking for more options of bookmakers for your bet on Melbourne City x Newcastle Jets?

If you want to take a look at more options of betting websites, we, from the Clube, have listed our favorites for you. Right below you can check the best kenyan betting sites from 2025, carefully analysed by us. Pick yours and start betting now on Melbourne City x Newcastle Jets:

Analysis from Melbourne City x Newcastle Jets for the Australia A-League – 12 of March

When the best bet on Melbourne City x Newcastle Jets is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1280099 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Melbourne City x Newcastle Jets

Is betting on Melbourne City worth it?

🔵 Melbourne City: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 80.74% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.62. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 810 times – profiting $502.20;
• And would lose other 190 times – losing -$190.00 with them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$312.20.

Is it worth betting on draw?

⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 14.67% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 4.00. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would have hit 150 times – having a profit of $450.00;
• And would have lost other 850 times – with a loss of -$850.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$400.00.

Is betting on Newcastle Jets worth it?

🔴 Newcastle Jets: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 4.59% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 4.70. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would have hit 50 times – having a profit of $185.00;
• And would have lost other 950 times – with a loss of -$950.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$765.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Melbourne City x Newcastle Jets

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.0 Melbourne City
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Melbourne City x Newcastle Jets

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -1.0 Melbourne City, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.75 Melbourne City.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.75 Melbourne City.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Melbourne City x Newcastle Jets

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 3.00 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 3.00 goals.