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22/1/2022 07:00 |
 Melbourne City1.95 |
X 3.58 |
Sydney FC  3.37 |
This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Melbourne City x Sydney FC:
๐ฎ Melbourne City wins the match
๐ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Melbourne City, you can win up to $975.00!
๐ Check out the full analysis on Betfellows: Prognostic for Melbourne City x Sydney FC
Do you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Melbourne City x Sydney FC?
If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Melbourne City x Sydney FC, no problem. Right below you have the bookies that we used the most in 2022. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:
Analysis from Melbourne City x Sydney FC for the Australia A-League – 22 of January
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๐๏ธ Melbourne City X Sydney FC – Australia A-League |
Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Melbourne City x Sydney FC right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.
Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 290605 matches on the betting prognostics platform Betfellows , in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:
Tips for the 1×2 market for Melbourne City x Sydney FC
Is it worth betting on Melbourne City?
๐ต Melbourne City: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 66.21% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.95. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would have hit 660 times – having a profit of $627.00;
- And would lose other 340 times – losing -$340.00 with them.
It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of ๐ฐ$287.00.
Is it a good idea to bet on draw?
โช draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 15.66% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.58. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would have hit 160 times – having a profit of $413.60;
- And would lose other 840 times – having a loss of -$840.00 with them.
That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of ๐ฐ-$426.40.
Is it a good idea to bet on Sydney FC?
๐ด Sydney FC: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 18.13% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.37. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 180 times – this would give you a profit of $425.70
- And would lose other 820 times – having a loss of -$820.00 with them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of ๐ฐ-$394.30.
Handicaps analysis for the match Melbourne City x Sydney FC
Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on soccer betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..
Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:
โ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Melbourne City
โฝ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Melbourne City x Sydney FC
โ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.5 Melbourne City, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.5 Melbourne City.
Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Melbourne City x Sydney FC
โฝ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.75 goals.
Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.
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Written by
Humberto Alves
Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.
> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
