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Home » Predictions » Others » Melbourne Knights x Heidelberg Utd Betting tips for February 6 in Australia NPL Victoria
Thursday, 06 February 2025, 08h30 Australia NPL Victoria
Melbourne Knights Melbourne Knights
PREDICTION Draw Match Probability 28% 1 X 2
Heidelberg Utd Heidelberg Utd
ODD: @3.42 Don't miss this prediction!

Melbourne Knights x Heidelberg Utd Betting tips for February 6 in Australia NPL Victoria

Our betting tip for Melbourne Knights x Heidelberg Utd, Thursday, 6/2/2025
📅 6/2/2025
08:30
Melbourne Knights Melbourne Knights
2.90
X
3.42
Heidelberg Utd Heidelberg Utd
2.14

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Melbourne Knights x Heidelberg Utd:

🔮 Tied Match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on a tie, you can win up to $1710.00!

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Some important points for the tip for Melbourne Knights x Heidelberg Utd:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Melbourne Knights in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-45.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Heidelberg Utd in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-48.0.
👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team, Melbourne Knights scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, Heidelberg Utd scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 4 matches as the away team, Heidelberg Utd conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 road matches, Heidelberg Utd has not lost any of them.

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Summary

Do you want more options of bookies to bet on Melbourne Knights x Heidelberg Utd?

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Analysis from Melbourne Knights x Heidelberg Utd for the Australia NPL Victoria – 6 of February

🏟️ Melbourne Knights X Heidelberg Utd – Australia NPL Victoria
📅 6 of February, 2025 – 08:30
🔵 Melbourne Knights – Winning probability: 24.54% | Fair line: 4.08
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 28.78% | Fair line: 3.48
🔴 Heidelberg Utd – Winning probability: 46.69% | Fair line: 2.14
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.5 Melbourne Knights
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.25 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Melbourne Knights and Heidelberg Utd.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1257960 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Melbourne Knights x Heidelberg Utd

Is betting on Melbourne Knights worth it?

🔵 Melbourne Knights: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 24.54% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.90. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 250 times – profiting $475.00;
  • And would lose other 750 times – having a loss of -$750.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$275.00.

Should you bet on draw?

draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 28.78% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.42. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 290 times – having a profit of $701.80;
  • And would lose other 710 times – having a loss of -$710.00 with them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$8.20.

Is it worth betting on Heidelberg Utd?

🔴 Heidelberg Utd: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 46.69%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.14. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 470 times – having a profit of $535.80;
  • And would lose other 530 times – losing -$530.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$5.80.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Melbourne Knights x Heidelberg Utd

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.5 Melbourne Knights
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Melbourne Knights x Heidelberg Utd

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +0.5 Melbourne Knights and the available handicap to bet at the moment is +0.25 Melbourne Knights.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.25 Heidelberg Utd.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Melbourne Knights x Heidelberg Utd

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.75 goals.

Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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