Melbourne Knights x Port Melbourne SC Betting tips for March 9 in Australia NPL Victoria

Our betting tip for Melbourne Knights x Port Melbourne SC, Sunday, 9/3/2025

📅 9/3/2025
08:00

Melbourne Knights
1.95

X
3.60

Port Melbourne SC

3.21

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Melbourne Knights x Port Melbourne SC:

👎 Unfortunately, we do not have any positive expected value tips for Melbourne Knights x Port Melbourne SC

Important information for your tip for Melbourne Knights x Port Melbourne SC:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Melbourne Knights in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $93.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Port Melbourne SC in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500.
👉 In the last 6 matches as the home team, Melbourne Knights scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 4 Melbourne Knights matches as the home team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 4 Port Melbourne SC matches as the away team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team, Melbourne Knights conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 5 matches as the away team, Port Melbourne SC conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 It is not a good time for Port Melbourne SC as away team: it comes from 5 losses in a row in its last away matches.

Summary

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Analysis from Melbourne Knights x Port Melbourne SC for the Australia NPL Victoria – 9 of March

🏟️ Melbourne Knights X Port Melbourne SC – Australia NPL Victoria
📅 9 of March, 2025 – 08:00
🔵 Melbourne Knights – Winning probability: 57.63% | Fair line: 1.74
⚪ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 19.48% | Fair line: 5.13
🔴 Port Melbourne SC – Winning probability: 22.89% | Fair line: 4.37
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Melbourne Knights
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 10.25 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Melbourne Knights x Port Melbourne SC right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1277097 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Melbourne Knights x Port Melbourne SC

Is it worth betting on Melbourne Knights?

🔵 Melbourne Knights: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 57.63% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.95. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

Would hit 580 times – this would give you a profit of $551.00
And would have lost other 420 times – with a loss of -$420.00 because of them.

Even if it is a positive expected value bet, the expected profit is just 💰$131.00 which is not worth the risk in our opinion.

Is it worth betting on draw?

⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 19.48% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.60. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

Would have hit 190 times – having a profit of $494.00;
And would lose other 810 times – losing -$810.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$316.00.

Is it worth betting on Port Melbourne SC?

🔴 Port Melbourne SC: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 22.89%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.21. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

Would have hit 230 times – having a profit of $508.30;
And would lose other 770 times – losing -$770.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$261.70.

Handicaps analysis for the match Melbourne Knights x Port Melbourne SC

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Melbourne Knights
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Melbourne Knights x Port Melbourne SC

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.5 Melbourne Knights, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.25 Melbourne Knights.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.25 Melbourne Knights.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Melbourne Knights x Port Melbourne SC

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.75 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.75 goals.