Melbourne Knights U23 x Dandenong Thunder U23 Betting tips for April 13 in Australia NPL Victoria U23

Our betting tip for Melbourne Knights U23 x Dandenong Thunder U23, Sunday, 13/4/2025

📅 13/4/2025 03:00

Melbourne Knights U23 3.07

X 4.53

Dandenong Thunder U23 1.80

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Melbourne Knights U23 x Dandenong Thunder U23:

🔮 Dandenong Thunder U23 wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Dandenong Thunder U23, you can win up to $900.00!

Make this bet on Bet365 now!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com 

Important information for your tip for Melbourne Knights U23 x Dandenong Thunder U23: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Melbourne Knights U23 in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-290.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Dandenong Thunder U23 in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-160.0. 👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team, Melbourne Knights U23 scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 5 Melbourne Knights U23 matches as the home team, it finished over 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team, Melbourne Knights U23 conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 7 matches as the away team, Dandenong Thunder U23 conceded at least 1 goal(s).

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Analysis from Melbourne Knights U23 x Dandenong Thunder U23 for the Australia NPL Victoria U23 – 13 of April

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Melbourne Knights U23 x Dandenong Thunder U23 right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1302086 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Melbourne Knights U23 x Dandenong Thunder U23

Is betting on Melbourne Knights U23 worth it?

🔵 Melbourne Knights U23: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 17.66% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.07. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 180 times – this would give you a profit of $372.60
• And would lose other 820 times – having a loss of -$820.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$447.40.

Is it worth betting on draw?

⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 11.77%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 4.53. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 120 times – having a profit of $423.60;
• And would lose other 880 times – losing -$880.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$456.40.

Should you bet on Dandenong Thunder U23?

🔴 Dandenong Thunder U23: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 70.57% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.80. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 710 times – this would give you a profit of $568.00
• And would lose other 290 times – having a loss of -$290.00 with them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$278.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Melbourne Knights U23 x Dandenong Thunder U23

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +1.25 Melbourne Knights U23
⚽ Expected goals: 3.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Melbourne Knights U23 x Dandenong Thunder U23

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +1.25 Melbourne Knights U23, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +0.5 Melbourne Knights U23.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.75, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.5 Dandenong Thunder U23.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Melbourne Knights U23 x Dandenong Thunder U23

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 4.00 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.50, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: – 4.00 goals.