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26/12/2021 08:45 |
 Melbourne Victory2.05 |
X 3.43 |
Western United FC  3.38 |
This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Melbourne Victory x Western United FC:
๐ฎ Melbourne Victory wins the match
๐ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Melbourne Victory, you can win up to $1025.00!
๐ Check out the analysis on Betfellows for this match: Full prognostic for Melbourne Victory x Western United FC
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Analysis from Melbourne Victory x Western United FC for the Australia A-League – 26 of December
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๐๏ธ Melbourne Victory X Western United FC – Australia A-League |
Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Melbourne Victory x Western United FCright, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.
Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial inteligelnce has colected information from around 281997 matches on the betting prognostics platform Betfellows , in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:
Tips for the 1×2 market for Melbourne Victory x Western United FC
Should you bet on Melbourne Victory?
๐ต Melbourne Victory: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 53.87% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.05. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 540 times – this would give you a profit of $567.00
- And would lose other 460 times – losing -$460.00 with them.
It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of ๐ฐ$107.00.
Is betting on draw worth it?
โช draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 24.08% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.43. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would have hit 240 times – having a profit of $583.20;
- And would lose other 760 times – having a loss of -$760.00 with them.
That is why bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of ๐ฐ-$176.80.
Is it a good idea to bet on Western United FC?
๐ด Western United FC: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 22.06%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.38. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 220 times – having a profit of $522.50;
- And would lose other 780 times – having a loss of -$780.00 with them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of ๐ฐ-$257.50.
Handicaps analysis for the match Melbourne Victory x Western United FC
Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on soccer betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..
These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:
โ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Melbourne Victory
โฝ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
Tips for the market Handicap 1×2 for Melbourne Victory x Western United FC
โ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.25 Melbourne Victory, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.25 Melbourne Victory.
Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies nand the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Handicap 1×2market.
Tips for the market Goals Handicap for Melbourne Victory x Western United FC
โฝ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at that moment is 2.75 goals.
Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies nand the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Goals Handicapmarket.
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Written by
Humberto Alves
Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.
> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
