Melilla x Tenerife B Betting tips for January 12 in Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 5
π
12/1/2025 11:00 |
Melilla 2.75 |
X 3.06 |
Tenerife B 2.39 |
Our algorithm has selected this tip for Melilla x Tenerife B:
π Umm…what a pity! We do not have any positive expected value tips for Melilla x Tenerife B
Important information for your tip for Melilla x Tenerife B: π If you had bet $100 on Melilla in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-65.0. |
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Analysis from Melilla x Tenerife B for the Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 5 – 12 of January
ποΈ Melilla X Tenerife B – Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 5 |
A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Melilla and Tenerife B.
And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1244844 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:
Tips for the 1×2 market for Melilla x Tenerife B
Is it a good idea to bet on Melilla?
π΅ Melilla: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 37.42% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.75. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 370 times – profiting $647.50;
- And would lose other 630 times – having a loss of -$630.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of π°-$17.50.
Is it a good idea to bet on draw?
βͺ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 29.47%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.06. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 290 times – this would give you a profit of $597.40
- And would lose other 710 times – having a loss of -$710.00 with them.
We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of π°-$112.60.
Should you bet on Tenerife B?
π΄ Tenerife B: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 33.11% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.39. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 330 times – having a profit of $458.70;
- And would lose other 670 times – losing -$670.00 with them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of π°-$211.30.
Handicaps analysis for the match Melilla x Tenerife B
Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.
These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:
β Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Melilla
β½ Expected goals: 2.25 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Melilla x Tenerife B
β Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +0.25 Melilla, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 0.0 Melilla.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.0 Tenerife B.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Melilla x Tenerife B
β½ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.00 goals.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.00 goals.