Melita FC Saint Julian x Naxxar Lions Betting tips for November 25 in Malta Premier League

Our betting tip for Melita FC Saint Julian x Naxxar Lions, Monday, 25/11/2024

📅 25/11/2024 18:00

Melita FC Saint Julian 2.14

X 3.30

Naxxar Lions 3.04

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Melita FC Saint Julian x Naxxar Lions:

👎 Unfortunately, we do not have any positive expected value tips for Melita FC Saint Julian x Naxxar Lions

Some important points for the tip for Melita FC Saint Julian x Naxxar Lions: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Naxxar Lions in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500. 👉 In the last 4 matches as the away team, Naxxar Lions conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 Playing as the home team, Melita FC Saint Julian conceded at least 2 goal(s) in all the last 3 head-to-head against Naxxar Lions. 👉 Even as a visitor, Naxxar Lions won the last 3 head-to-head matches Melita FC Saint Julian´s territory

Do you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Melita FC Saint Julian x Naxxar Lions?

If you want to take a look at more options of betting websites, we, from the Clube, have listed our favorites for you. Right below you can check the best kenyan betting sites from 2024, carefully analysed by us. Pick yours and start betting now on Melita FC Saint Julian x Naxxar Lions:

Analysis from Melita FC Saint Julian x Naxxar Lions for the Malta Premier League – 25 of November

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Melita FC Saint Julian x Naxxar Lions right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1226828 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Melita FC Saint Julian x Naxxar Lions

Is betting on Melita FC Saint Julian worth it?

🔵 Melita FC Saint Julian: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 33.35% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.14. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 330 times – this would give you a profit of $376.20
• And would have lost other 670 times – with a loss of -$670.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$293.80.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 31.63%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.30. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 320 times – profiting $736.00;
• And would lose other 680 times – losing -$680.00 with them.

Although this bet has some value, notice that the expected profit is just 💰$56.00, which is not worth the risk in our point of view.

Is it worth betting on Naxxar Lions?

🔴 Naxxar Lions: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 35.02% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.04. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 350 times – having a profit of $714.00;
• And would have lost other 650 times – with a loss of -$650.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$64.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Melita FC Saint Julian x Naxxar Lions

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Melita FC Saint Julian
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Melita FC Saint Julian x Naxxar Lions

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 0.0 Melita FC Saint Julian, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.25 Melita FC Saint Julian.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.25 Naxxar Lions.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Melita FC Saint Julian x Naxxar Lions

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: – 2.50 goals.