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Home ยป Predictions ยป Others ยป Merida x Real Madrid B Betting tips for May 10 in Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2
Saturday, 10 May 2025, 14h00 Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2
Merida Merida
PREDICTION Draw Match Probability 34% 1 X 2
Real Madrid B Real Madrid B
ODD: @3.28 Don't miss this prediction!

Merida x Real Madrid B Betting tips for May 10 in Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2

Our betting tip for Merida x Real Madrid B, Saturday, 10/5/2025
๐Ÿ“… 10/5/2025
14:00
Merida Merida
2.15
X
3.28
Real Madrid B Real Madrid B
3.00

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Merida x Real Madrid B:

๐Ÿ”ฎ Tied Match
๐Ÿ’ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on a tie, you can win up to $1640.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

The main points for the tip for Merida x Real Madrid B:

๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Merida in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $350.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Real Madrid B in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-180.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 6 matches as the home team, Merida scored at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 3 head-to-head matches between Merida x Real Madrid B, with Merida as the home team, they finished under 2.5 goals.
๐Ÿ‘‰ Merida is good playing home: it has 4 wins in a row in its last matches at home.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 7 road matches, Real Madrid B has not lost any of them.

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Summary

Do you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Merida x Real Madrid B?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Merida x Real Madrid B, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2025. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Merida x Real Madrid B for the Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2 – 10 of May

๐ŸŸ๏ธ Merida X Real Madrid B – Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2
๐Ÿ“… 10 of May, 2025 – 14:00
๐Ÿ”ต Merida – Winning probability: 35.53% | Fair line: 2.81
โšช Tied game – Probability of tied match: 34.03% | Fair line: 2.94
๐Ÿ”ด Real Madrid B – Winning probability: 30.44% | Fair line: 3.29
โš– Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Merida
โšฝ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
โ›ณ Expected corner kicks: 10.00 corner kicks

When the best bet on Merida x Real Madrid B is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1322135 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Merida x Real Madrid B

Is it worth betting on Merida?

๐Ÿ”ต Merida: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 35.53%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.15. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 360 times – profiting $414.00;
  • And would lose other 640 times – losing -$640.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$226.00.

Should you bet on draw?

โšช draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 34.03% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.28. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 340 times – this would give you a profit of $775.20
  • And would have lost other 660 times – with a loss of -$660.00 because of them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of ๐Ÿ’ฐ$115.20.

Is it a good idea to bet on Real Madrid B?

๐Ÿ”ด Real Madrid B: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 30.44% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.00. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 300 times – this would give you a profit of $600.00
  • And would lose other 700 times – having a loss of -$700.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$100.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Merida x Real Madrid B

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

โš– Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Merida
โšฝ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Merida x Real Madrid B

โš– Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 0.0 Merida, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.5 Merida.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.5 Real Madrid B.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Merida x Real Madrid B

โšฝ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.50 goals.

Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by
Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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