Metropolitanos FC x Deportivo Tachira Betting tips for September 29 in Venezuela Primera Division

Our betting tip for Metropolitanos FC x Deportivo Tachira, Sunday, 29/9/2024

📅 29/9/2024 20:45

Metropolitanos FC 3.26

X 2.98

Deportivo Tachira 2.12

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Metropolitanos FC x Deportivo Tachira:

👎 Unfortunately, we do not have any positive expected value tips for Metropolitanos FC x Deportivo Tachira

Important information for your tip for Metropolitanos FC x Deportivo Tachira: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Metropolitanos FC in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-315.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Deportivo Tachira in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-305.0. 👉 Deportivo Tachira did not concede a goal in the last 3 matches as away team. 👉 In the last 5 Deportivo Tachira matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 4 road matches, Deportivo Tachira has not lost any of them.

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Analysis from Metropolitanos FC x Deportivo Tachira for the Venezuela Primera Division – 29 of September

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Metropolitanos FC x Deportivo Tachira right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1191083 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Metropolitanos FC x Deportivo Tachira

Is it a good idea to bet on Metropolitanos FC?

🔵 Metropolitanos FC: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 19.58%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.26. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 200 times – having a profit of $452.00;
• And would have lost other 800 times – with a loss of -$800.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$348.00.

Is it worth betting on draw?

⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 31.87% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.98. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 320 times – having a profit of $633.60;
• And would lose other 680 times – having a loss of -$680.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$46.40.

Is betting on Deportivo Tachira worth it?

🔴 Deportivo Tachira: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 48.55%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.12. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would have hit 490 times – having a profit of $548.80;
• And would lose other 510 times – having a loss of -$510.00 with them.

It is a low stake bet, since after all you would have an final expected profit of just 💰$38.80. Which is not even that worthy considering the risk!

Handicaps analysis for the match Metropolitanos FC x Deportivo Tachira

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Metropolitanos FC
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Metropolitanos FC x Deportivo Tachira

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 0.0 Metropolitanos FC, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +0.25 Metropolitanos FC.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: +0.25 Metropolitanos FC.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Metropolitanos FC x Deportivo Tachira

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.00 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.00 goals.