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Home » Predictions » Others » Mictlán x CD Achuapa Betting tips for February 2 in Guatemala Liga Nacional
Monday, 02 February 2026, 00h00 Guatemala Liga Nacional
Mictlán Mictlán
PREDICTION Mictlán wins Probability 63% 1 X 2
CD Achuapa CD Achuapa
ODD: @1.77
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Mictlán x CD Achuapa Betting tips for February 2 in Guatemala Liga Nacional

Our betting tip for Mictlán x CD Achuapa, Monday, 2/2/2026
📅 2/2/2026
00:00
Mictlán Mictlán
1.77
X
3.15
CD Achuapa CD Achuapa
4.20

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Mictlán x CD Achuapa:

🔮 Mictlán wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Mictlán, you can win up to $885.00!

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Some important points for the tip for Mictlán x CD Achuapa:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Mictlán in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-309.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on CD Achuapa in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500.
👉 CD Achuapa did not score any goals in the last 3 matches as away team.
👉 In the last 5 head-to-head matches between Mictlán x CD Achuapa, with Mictlán as the home team, they finished under 2.5 goals.

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Summary

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Analysis from Mictlán x CD Achuapa for the Guatemala Liga Nacional – 2 of February

🏟️ Mictlán X CD Achuapa – Guatemala Liga Nacional
📅 2 of February, 2026 – 00:00
🔵 Mictlán – Winning probability: 63.06% | Fair line: 1.59
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 23.25% | Fair line: 4.3
🔴 CD Achuapa – Winning probability: 13.69% | Fair line: 7.3
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Mictlán
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.25 corner kicks

Odds and handicap movements for Mictlán x CD Achuapa

Before confirming your prediction, it is worth taking a look at how the odds have moved since the market opened. When the market adjusts the price (even slightly) it is usually because money flowed in, new information emerged or the bookmakers recalibrated their risk.

Below you will find a summary comparing opening odds with current odds in the main markets for Mictlán x CD Achuapa (1X2, handicap and goals).

📊 With a variation of -4.53%, the odds for Mictlán are virtually stable in relation to its opening: the market opened with odds of @1.833 for Mictlán and now the odds are @1.75.
📊 With a variation of 0.00%, the odds for Draw are virtually stable in relation to its opening: the market opened with odds of @3.2 for Draw and now the odds are @3.2.
📊 The odds for CD Achuapa had a great Raised of 11.10%: the market opened with odds of @3.9 for CD Achuapa and now the odds are @4.333.
📊 The main handicap is stable: the current handicap of -0.50 for Mictlán is exactly the same from its opening.
📊 The Goal Market remains stable: the current handicap of 2.0 goals is exactly the same from its opening.

Tips for the 1×2 market for Mictlán x CD Achuapa

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Mictlán x CD Achuapa right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1472233 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Should you bet on Mictlán?

🔵 Mictlán: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 63.06%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.77. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 630 times – this would give you a profit of $485.10
  • And would lose other 370 times – having a loss of -$370.00 with them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$115.10.

Should you bet on draw?

draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 23.25% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.15. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 230 times – profiting $494.50;
  • And would lose other 770 times – having a loss of -$770.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$275.50.

Is betting on CD Achuapa worth it?

🔴 CD Achuapa: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 13.69% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 4.20. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 140 times – having a profit of $448.00;
  • And would lose other 860 times – losing -$860.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$412.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Mictlán x CD Achuapa

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Mictlán
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Mictlán x CD Achuapa

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.5 Mictlán, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.5 Mictlán.

Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Mictlán x CD Achuapa

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.00 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.00 goals.

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FAQs: Frequently asked questions about the tip for Mictlán x CD Achuapa

Who is the favourite: Mictlán or CD Achuapa?

Based on our calculations, the team most likely to win is Mictlán, with an estimated chance of 63.06%. Remember: surprises happen in football!

Who will win: Mictlán or CD Achuapa?

There are no absolutes in sports betting. Still, our model suggests Mictlán has the better chance to win, with a probability of 63.06%. If you choose to back Mictlán, do so responsibly!

What are the chances of Mictlán beating CD Achuapa today?

According to our analysis, out of every 100 games we expect Mictlán to win approximately 63 of them against CD Achuapa.

What are the chances of CD Achuapa beating Mictlán today?

Based on our calculations, in every 100 matches we estimate CD Achuapa would win about 14 of those versus Mictlán.

Which team should I bet on: Mictlán or CD Achuapa?

A successful bettor looks for positive expected value opportunities. Based on our analysis, we believe the best bet for this match is: Mictlán wins, with a positive expected value of 10.06%. Bet responsibly and manage your bankroll: avoid staking more than 2% of your funds!

How much is Mictlán paying today? See what you can win by betting on Mictlán x CD Achuapa:

The odds for Mictlán to beat CD Achuapa today are around 1.77. That means a bet of KSh1000 could return KSh1770.00 if Mictlán wins. Remember betting involves risk and returns are not guaranteed. Bet responsibly!

How much is CD Achuapa paying today? See what you can win by betting on Mictlán x CD Achuapa:

The average odds for CD Achuapa to beat Mictlán today are 4.20. So a KSh1000 stake could pay KSh4200.00 if CD Achuapa wins. Bet responsibly and remember outcomes are not certain.

Which bookmaker is best for betting on Mictlán x CD Achuapa?

If you plan to bet on Mictlán vs CD Achuapa, we suggest using trusted and regulated bookmakers. Here are three operators we recommend:

Remember to bet responsibly!

Written by
Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves