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Home Β» Predictions Β» Others Β» Middlesbrough x QPR Betting tips for March 11 in England Championship
Tuesday, 11 March 2025, 19h45 England Championship
Middlesbrough Middlesbrough
PREDICTION No tip
QPR QPR
Don't miss this prediction!

Middlesbrough x QPR Betting tips for March 11 in England Championship

Our betting tip for Middlesbrough x QPR, Tuesday, 11/3/2025
πŸ“… 11/3/2025
19:45
Middlesbrough Middlesbrough
1.74
X
3.70
QPR QPR
4.60

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Middlesbrough x QPR:

πŸ‘Ž Umm…too bad! We did not find any positive expected value bets for Middlesbrough x QPR

Important information for your tip for Middlesbrough x QPR:

πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Middlesbrough in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-148.0.
πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on QPR in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-140.0.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 5 matches as the away team, QPR conceded at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ Playing as the home team, Middlesbrough conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 5 head-to-head against QPR.
πŸ‘‰ It is not a good time for QPR as away team: it comes from 4 losses in a row in its last away matches.

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Summary

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Analysis from Middlesbrough x QPR for the England Championship – 11 of March

🏟️ Middlesbrough X QPR – England Championship
πŸ“… 11 of March, 2025 – 19:45
πŸ”΅ Middlesbrough – Winning probability: 50.43% | Fair line: 1.98
βšͺ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 27.44% | Fair line: 3.64
πŸ”΄ QPR – Winning probability: 22.13% | Fair line: 4.52
βš– Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Middlesbrough
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
β›³ Expected corner kicks: 9.75 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Middlesbrough and QPR.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1279005 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Middlesbrough x QPR

Should you bet on Middlesbrough?

πŸ”΅ Middlesbrough: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 50.43% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.74. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 500 times – this would give you a profit of $370.00
  • And would lose other 500 times – having a loss of -$500.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of πŸ’°-$130.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

βšͺ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 27.44% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.70. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 270 times – profiting $729.00;
  • And would lose other 730 times – having a loss of -$730.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of πŸ’°-$1.00.

Is betting on QPR worth it?

πŸ”΄ QPR: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 22.13% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 4.60. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 220 times – this would give you a profit of $792.00
  • And would lose other 780 times – having a loss of -$780.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of πŸ’°-$12.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Middlesbrough x QPR

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

βš– Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Middlesbrough
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Middlesbrough x QPR

βš– Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.5 Middlesbrough, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.75 Middlesbrough.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.75 QPR.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Middlesbrough x QPR

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.00 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.

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Written by
Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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